克罗地亚失业的内生冲击

Q3 Social Sciences InterEULawEast Pub Date : 2019-12-01 DOI:10.22598/iele.2019.6.2.3
I. Novak
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用分位数回归方法探讨了克罗地亚2000年第一季度至2018年第四季度失业内生冲击的性质。标准单位根检验给出不确定的结果。最近的文献强调了单位根检验对零假设的偏见。考虑到时间序列的非线性特性对标准单位根检验的影响,本文采用了分位数自回归方法。结果证实了克罗地亚的失业滞后性。此外,存在内生冲击的不对称行为。其结果对克罗地亚经济的政策、增长和发展具有重要影响。
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ENDOGENOUS SHOCKS IN CROATIAN UNEMPLOYMENT
Using the quantile regression approach this paper explores the nature of endogenous shocks in unemployment of Croatia during the period 2000Q1-2018Q4. Standard unit root tests give inconclusive results. Recent literature highlights the bias of unit root tests toward the null hypothesis. Considering the nonlinear nature of time series which may influence the standard unit root tests this paper uses a quantile auto-regression approach. Results confirm unemployment hysteresis in Croatia. Furthermore, there is an asymmetric behavior of endogenous shocks. Outcomes have important implications for policy, growth and development of the Croatian economy.
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来源期刊
InterEULawEast
InterEULawEast Social Sciences-Law
CiteScore
1.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
11
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