应用最小生成树确定市场关联结构

B. T. Khoa, T. Huynh, Vo Dinh Nhat Truong, Le Vu Truong, Do Bui Xuan Cuong, Tran Khanh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

确定市场关联结构是理论和实验中的一个重要课题。在新冠肺炎疫情的影响下,市场结构可能会发生变形。因此,本研究考察了疫情对市场结构的影响。本研究考虑了VN30投资组合(包括市值最大的30只股票)的相关结构;收集期为2000年7月28日至2021年7月30日。数据分为大流行前后的02个阶段。采用Kruskal算法确定最小生成树(minimum Spanning Tree, MST)结构,定义市场关联结构。本研究通过结构均值距离比较,比较了新冠肺炎大流行前后结构的变化。t检验结果显示,疫情前后存在结构性差异。根据研究结果,投资者应该改变他们的风险管理策略,以适应市场环境,因为之前的结构已经改变。
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Minimal Spanning Tree application to determine market correlation structure
Determining the structure of market correlation is an important topic in theory and experiments. Under the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, the market structure may be deformed. Therefore, this study examines the pandemic’s impact on the market structure. This study considered the correlation structure of the VN30 portfolio (including 30 stocks with the largest market capitalization); the collecting period is from July 28, 2000, to July 30, 2021. The data was divided into 02 phases before and after the pandemic. The Kruskal algorithm is implemented to determine the Minimal Spanning Tree (MST) structure to define the structure of market correlation. This study compared the change in the structure before and after the Covid-19 pandemic by structures’ mean of distances comparison. T-test results show that there are structural differences before and after the pandemic. Based on the research result, investors should change their risk management strategy to suit the market context because the previous structure has been changed.
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8 weeks
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