太阳通量与黑子数;长期趋势分析

B. Tiwari, Mukul Kumar
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文采用线性和多元回归方法研究了月黑子数和太阳通量F10.7的性质。我们观察到月平均太阳黑子数与F10.7之间存在明显的相关性。我们观察到,即使在太阳极小期的深处,也存在一些磁活动。我们得到决定系数R2为0.9533。我们估计太阳通量F10.7与黑子数的相关系数为0.97。我们将F10.7外推到1700年,并观察到模拟的F10.7与太阳黑子性质之间有很好的对应关系。我们还发现在模拟和观测到的太阳通量F10.7之间有很好的对应关系。
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The Solar Flux and Sunspot Number; A Long-Trend Analysis
We investigate the nature of monthly sunspot numbers and solar flux F10.7 by employing the linear and multiple regression techniques. We observed a brilliant correlation between monthly mean sunspot number and F10.7. We observed that even in deep solar minimum there exist some magnetic activities. We obtained the coefficient of determination R2 to be 0.9533. We estimated the correlation coefficient for solar flux F10.7 and sunspot number to be 0.97. We extrapolated the F10.7 back to the year 1700 and observed a good correspondence between the modelled F10.7 and sunspot nature. We also found a very good correspondence between the modelled and observed solar flux F10.7.
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