谷歌趋势数据和指数回报之间的关系

R. Kruthika, P. Balasubramanian, V. Sureshkumar
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文旨在测试“牛市”和“熊市”的谷歌趋势数据与NIFTY回报之间存在或不存在关系。我们使用格兰杰因果检验来发现谷歌趋势数据与指数收益之间的关系。在本研究中,使用2016年12月至2017年12月一年间Nifty 50数据的调整后收盘价来计算每周指数回报,并采用关键词“牛市”和“熊市”的印度谷歌趋势数据。有人观察到,谷歌搜索“牛市”的数据正在影响Nifty 50的回报。
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Relationship Between Google Trends Data and Index Returns
This paper aims to test the presence or absence of relationship between Google trends data for the words ‘bull market’ and ‘bear market’ and the returns of NIFTY. We use Granger causality test to find the relationship between the Google trends data and the index returns. For this study, the adjusted closing prices of Nifty 50 data for period of one year from December 2016 to December 2017 is used to calculate the weekly index return and the Google trend data for India for the keywords ‘bull market’ and ‘bear market’ is taken. It was observed that the Google search data for the ‘Bull market’ is affecting the Nifty 50 returns.
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