意见形成模型中的内省主体预测社会市场

Sajjad Salehi, F. Taghiyareh
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引用次数: 4

摘要

个人可能会在一系列因素的影响下改变自己的观点,比如与同伴群体的互动、政府政策和个人意图。这方面的研究主要关注社会网络中的个体及其相互作用,而忽略了其他因素。本文提出了一种将社会网络中个体的内在倾向视为个体特征的意见形成模型。在这个模型中,代理可以信任、不信任或对邻居保持中立。他们根据邻居的意见来改变自己的看法,对他们的信任/不信任,同时考虑到内部趋势。仿真结果表明,当节点度和聚类系数的平均值足够大时,该模型能较好地预测社会网络的意见。由于该模型可以预测个人在市场中的偏好,因此可以用来定义营销和生产策略。
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Introspective Agents in Opinion Formation Modeling to Predict Social Market
Individuals may change their opinion in effect of a wide range of factors like interaction with peer groups, governmental policies and personal intentions. Works in this area mainly focus on individuals in social network and their interactions while neglect other factors. In this paper we have introduced an opinion formation model that consider the internal tendency as a personal feature of individuals in social network. In this model agents may trust, distrust or be neutral to their neighbors. They modify their opinion based on the opinion of their neighbors, trust/distrust to them while considering the internal tendency. The results of simulation show that this model can predict the opinion of social network especially when the average of nodal degree and clustering coefficient are high enough. Since this model can predict the preferences of individuals in market, it can be used to define marketing and production strategy.
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