偿付能力II框架下的股票风险分析:内部模型与标准模型

Pablo Durán Santomil , Luis A. Otero González , Sara Fernández López , Milagros Vivel Búa
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引用次数: 4

摘要

《偿付能力II》将改变确定保险公司资本要求的体系。新的监管框架提出了一个标准模型,但与此同时,它鼓励应用自我评估和风险管理的内部模型。本文旨在研究文献中提出的用于测量insureŕs股权风险暴露的替代模型。我们使用了IBEX-35指数在1992年1月至2008年12月期间的月度数据系列。经过校准的模型可以将所得的资本要求与第四次定量影响研究(QIS4)的建议进行比较。结果表明,较优拟合模型得到的资本要求显著大于标准模型。这意味着使用标准模型或基于类似假设的其他模型的公司大大低估了它们对股票风险的敞口。
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Análisis del riesgo de renta variable en el marco de solvencia II: modelos internos frente al modelo estándar

Solvency II will transform the system of determining capital requirements of the insurer. The new regulatory framework proposes a standard model, but at the same time, it encourages the application of internal models of self-assessment and risk management. This paper aims to examine alternative models proposed in the literature for the measurement of insureŕs equity risk exposure. We have used monthly data series on the IBEX-35 in the period between January 1992 and December 2008. The calibrated models have allowed comparing the resulting capital requirements against the proposal of the fourth quantitative impact study (QIS4). The results show that capital requirements obtained by the better fit models are significantly greater than those of the standard model. This means that companies using the standard model or another based on similar assumptions underestimate significantly their exposure to equity risk.

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