小型开放经济体中的资产价格泡沫与货币政策

Q3 Social Sciences Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica Pub Date : 2015-06-01 DOI:10.1016/j.espe.2014.11.003
Martha López
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在本文中,我们扩展了Bernanke和Gertler(1999)的封闭经济模型,以便在小型开放经济模型的背景下解释资产价格泡沫的宏观经济影响。90年代,新兴市场经济体向外国投资开放了金融账户,但这些经济体的宏观经济失衡日益加剧。我们在本文中的目标是双重的:首先,我们想分析伯南克和格特勒(1999)的结论在小型开放经济体的情况下是否仍然成立。其次,我们想比较封闭经济体模型和小型开放经济体模型的宏观经济波动结果。我们的研究结果表明,中央银行不应对资产价格做出反应的结论仍然与封闭经济模型的结论一样,并且由于资本流入和货币政策的汇率机制,小型开放经济体更容易受到资产价格泡沫的影响。因此,在小型开放经济体中,商业周期更为严重。最后,面对资产价格泡沫破灭后的繁荣,如果货币当局只关注通胀,宏观经济波动将受到抑制。
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Asset price bubbles and monetary policy in a small open economy

In this paper we expanded the closed economy model by Bernanke and Gertler (1999) in order to account for the macroeconomic effects of an asset price bubble in the context of a small open economy model. During the nineties emerging market economies opened their financial accounts to foreign investment but generated growing macroeconomic imbalances in these economies. Our goal in this paper is twofold: first we want to analyze if the conclusions of Bernanke and Gertler (1999) remain in the case of a small open economy. And second, we want to compare the results in terms of macroeconomic volatility of the model for a closed economy versus the model for a small open economy. Our results show that the conclusion about the fact that the Central Bank should not react to asset price remains as in the case of a closed economy model, and that small open economies are more vulnerable to asset prices bubbles due to capital inflows and the exchange rate mechanism of the monetary policy. Therefore in small open economies the business cycle is deeper. Finally, in the face of a boom followed by a bust in an asset price bubble, macroeconomic volatility would be dampened if the monetary authority focuses only on inflation.

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来源期刊
Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica
Ensayos Sobre Politica Economica Social Sciences-Political Science and International Relations
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
4
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