{"title":"项目管理中时间成本权衡的在线风险-回报模型","authors":"Guan-qun NI , Yin-feng XU , Xiao-wen XU","doi":"10.1016/S1874-8651(10)60094-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Taking into account the uncertain delay of work on the critical path, the online strategy and competitive analysis are introduced into time-cost optimizing in project management. The competitive ratio of the strategy is given, and the prerushing strategy is proved to be the best determinate one. The relationship between the general strategy and the optimal offline strategy is analyzed, and three properties are discovered. On this basis, this article designs the risk-tolerance strategy and proves its competitive ratio to help the project manager in choosing the optimal strategy according to his own risk tolerance and forecast.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":101206,"journal":{"name":"Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice","volume":"29 12","pages":"Pages 141-146"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2009-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S1874-8651(10)60094-4","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Online Risk-Reward Model for Time-Cost Tradeoff in Project Management\",\"authors\":\"Guan-qun NI , Yin-feng XU , Xiao-wen XU\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/S1874-8651(10)60094-4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Taking into account the uncertain delay of work on the critical path, the online strategy and competitive analysis are introduced into time-cost optimizing in project management. The competitive ratio of the strategy is given, and the prerushing strategy is proved to be the best determinate one. The relationship between the general strategy and the optimal offline strategy is analyzed, and three properties are discovered. On this basis, this article designs the risk-tolerance strategy and proves its competitive ratio to help the project manager in choosing the optimal strategy according to his own risk tolerance and forecast.</p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":101206,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice\",\"volume\":\"29 12\",\"pages\":\"Pages 141-146\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2009-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/S1874-8651(10)60094-4\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1874865110600944\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1874865110600944","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Online Risk-Reward Model for Time-Cost Tradeoff in Project Management
Taking into account the uncertain delay of work on the critical path, the online strategy and competitive analysis are introduced into time-cost optimizing in project management. The competitive ratio of the strategy is given, and the prerushing strategy is proved to be the best determinate one. The relationship between the general strategy and the optimal offline strategy is analyzed, and three properties are discovered. On this basis, this article designs the risk-tolerance strategy and proves its competitive ratio to help the project manager in choosing the optimal strategy according to his own risk tolerance and forecast.