燃油价格的上涨是否增加了燃油盗窃的水平?来自英格兰和威尔士的证据。

IF 3.1 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Crime Science Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1186/s40163-023-00182-7

Aiden Sidebottom, Iain Agar, Justin Kurland

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引用次数: 0

摘要

燃料价格在过去一年中急剧上涨。在这项研究中，我们测试了一个假设，即燃料价格的上涨与驾驶者加满油箱并不付钱就开车的人数增加有关。我们使用了2018年1月至2022年7月期间英格兰和威尔士六个警察部队的每周犯罪数据，并结合了燃料销售数量和平均燃料价格的区域数据。我们的研究结果表明，在238周的研究期间，价格盗窃的关系总体上很弱，比以前的研究要弱。然而，我们发现强有力的证据表明，最近燃料价格的飙升与燃料盗窃水平的上升有关。讨论了我们的研究结果对未来研究和预防犯罪的影响。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Do increases in the price of fuel increase levels of fuel theft? Evidence from England and Wales.

Fuel prices have increased sharply over the past year. In this study we test the hypothesis that increases in the price of fuel are associated with increases in motorists filling their fuel tank and driving off without paying. We use weekly crime data from six police forces in England and Wales for the period January 2018 to July 2022, combined with regional data on the number of fuel sales and average fuel prices. Our results demonstrate an overall weak price-theft relationship for the 238 week study period, less so than in previous studies. However, we find strong evidence that the recent spike in fuel prices was associated with elevated levels of fuel theft. The implications of our findings for future research and crime prevention are discussed.

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来源期刊

Crime Science Social Sciences-Cultural Studies

CiteScore

11.90

自引率

8.20%

发文量

审稿时长

13 weeks

期刊介绍： Crime Science is an international, interdisciplinary, peer-reviewed journal with an applied focus. The journal''s main focus is on research articles and systematic reviews that reflect the growing cooperation among a variety of fields, including environmental criminology, economics, engineering, geography, public health, psychology, statistics and urban planning, on improving the detection, prevention and understanding of crime and disorder. Crime Science will publish theoretical articles that are relevant to the field, for example, approaches that integrate theories from different disciplines. The goal of the journal is to broaden the scientific base for the understanding, analysis and control of crime and disorder. It is aimed at researchers, practitioners and policy-makers with an interest in crime reduction. It will also publish short contributions on timely topics including crime patterns, technological advances for detection and prevention, and analytical techniques, and on the crime reduction applications of research from a wide range of fields. Crime Science publishes research articles, systematic reviews, short contributions and theoretical articles. While Crime Science uses the APA reference style, the journal welcomes submissions using alternative reference styles on a case-by-case basis.