为 COVID-19 安排抗病毒药物和免疫调节剂的脉冲神经控制。

Gustavo Hernandez-Mejia, Edgar N Sánchez, Victor M Chan, E A Hernandez-Vargas
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引用次数: 0

摘要

新的 SARS-CoV-2 变异株可以逃脱疫苗的作用,这是一个突出的威胁。使用抗病毒药物抑制病毒复制周期,或使用免疫调节剂调节宿主免疫反应,有助于在宿主水平上解决病毒感染问题。为了评估这些疗法的潜在用途,我们建议将反向最优神经控制器应用于一个代表宿主体内 SARS-CoV-2 动态的数学模型。抗病毒效果和免疫反应被视为控制行动。感染宿主之间的变异性可能很大,因此,宿主感染动态是基于用扩展卡尔曼滤波器(EKF)训练的递归高阶神经网络(RHONN)确定的。通过蒙特卡罗分析,对控制策略的性能进行了测试。模拟结果显示了潜在的抗病毒药物和免疫调节剂可降低病毒载量的不同情况。
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Impulsive Neural Control to Schedule Antivirals and Immunomodulators for COVID-19.

New SARS-CoV-2 variants escaping the effect of vaccines are an eminent threat. The use of antivirals to inhibit the viral replication cycle or immunomodulators to regulate host immune responses can help to tackle the viral infection at the host level. To evaluate the potential use of these therapies, we propose the application of an inverse optimal neural controller to a mathematical model that represents SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in the host. Antiviral effects and immune responses are considered as the control actions. The variability between infected hosts can be large, thus, the host infection dynamics are identified based on a Recurrent High-Order Neural Network (RHONN) trained with the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). The performance of the control strategies is tested by employing a Monte Carlo analysis. Simulation results present different scenarios where potential antivirals and immunomodulators could reduce the viral load.

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