新冠肺炎后以色列城市物理结构的初步迹象。

IF 1.8 Q2 GEOGRAPHY Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 Epub Date: 2023-05-17 DOI:10.1007/s12076-023-00346-8
Nataliya Rybnikova, Dani Broitman, Daniel Czamanski
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市的物理结构是自组织过程的结果,在自组织过程中,利润最大化的开发商是关键参与者。最近的新冠肺炎大流行是一个自然实验,通过研究开发商的行为,可以深入了解城市空间结构的变化。隔离和封锁期引发的城市居民的行为变化,如在家工作和网上购物,其规模预计将持续下去,这在以前是不可想象的。这些可能会导致住房、工作和零售空间需求的变化,影响开发商的决策。不同地点土地价值的相关变化比城市景观的物理形状的变化发生得更快。目前居住偏好的变化可能会导致城市强度的位置发生率在未来发生重大变化。我们通过使用以色列主要大都市地区的大量地理参考数据校准的土地价值模型,检验了过去两年土地价值的变化,从而检验了这一假设。有关所有房地产交易的数据包括有关资产和交易所价格的信息。同时,使用详细的建筑数据计算建筑密度。基于这些数据,我们估计了疫情前和疫情期间不同类型住宅的土地价值变化。这一结果使我们能够强调新冠肺炎后城市结构的可能初步迹象,这是由开发商行为的转变驱动的。补充信息:在线版本包含补充材料,请访问10.1007/s12076-023-00346-8。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Initial signs of post-covid-19 physical structures of cities in Israel.

The physical structure of cities is the result of self-organization processes in which profit-maximizing developers are key players. The recent Covid-19 pandemic was a natural experiment by means of which it is possible to gain insights into shifts in the spatial structure of cities by studying developers' behavior. Behavioral changes of urbanites triggered by the quarantine and lockdown periods, such as home-based work and online shopping on scales that were unthinkable heretofore, are expected to persist. These are likely to induce changes in the demand for housing, for work, and for retail space, impacting developers' decisions. Associated changes in the land values at different locations are occurring faster than changes of the physical shape of urban landscapes. It is possible that current changes in dwelling preferences will result in significant future shifts in the locational incidence of the urban intensities. We test this hypothesis by examining changes in land values during the last two years by means of a land value model calibrated with vast Geo-referenced data of the major metropolitan area in Israel. Data concerning all real estate transactions include information about the assets and the price of the exchanges. In parallel, built densities are calculated using detailed building data. Based on these data, we estimate the changes of land values for different types of dwellings before and during the pandemic. The result allows us to highlight possible initial signs of post-Covid-19 urban structures, driven by shifting behavior of developers.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s12076-023-00346-8.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.30
自引率
11.10%
发文量
30
期刊介绍: Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences (LSRS) publishes high-quality, shorter papers on new theoretical or empirical results and on models and methods in the social sciences that contain a spatial dimension. Coverage includes environmental and resource economics, regional and urban economics, spatial econometrics, regional science, geography, demography, agricultural economics, GIS and city and regional planning. Examples of topics include, but are not limited to, environmental damage, urbanization, resource allocation, spatial-temporal data use, regional economic development and the application of existing and new methodologies.LSRS contributes to the communication of theories and methodologies across disciplinary borders. It offers quick dissemination and easy accessibility of new results. Officially cited as: Lett Spat Resour Sci
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