Mohamad Y Fares, Umayya Musharrafieh, Abdul Rahman Bizri
{"title":"贝鲁特爆炸对黎巴嫩新冠肺炎疫情的影响。","authors":"Mohamad Y Fares, Umayya Musharrafieh, Abdul Rahman Bizri","doi":"10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>On August 4, 2020, a massive explosion hit Lebanon's capital city, Beirut. The aim of this study was to explore the effect of the Beirut blast on the COVID-19 situation in the country.</p><p><strong>Subject and methods: </strong>Data on COVID-19 were retrieved from the Lebanese Ministry of Public Health (LMOPH), where all the COVID-19 positive cases were reported. The study was divided into two periods, considering the incubation period of the COVID-19 virus: (July 27-August 9, 2020) and (August 10-23, 2020). Information obtained included daily number of cases, tests, deaths, hospitalized patients, intensive care unit (ICU) patients, and mode of acquisition (local vs. expat). Daily positivity rates were reported per 100 tests. An independent sample t-test and a Joinpoint regression analysis were used to determine significance. A <i>p</i> value less than 0.05 was considered significant.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 201,010 tests were conducted during our studied period, with 8993 positive cases, constituting a total positivity rate of 4.5 per 100 tests. Case fatality rate over the studied period was 0.8%. The positivity rate of the period prior to August 10, 2020, was 2.7 per 100 tests, significantly less than that of the period following the explosion, which was 6.4 per 100 tests (<i>p</i> < 0.001). During our studied period, daily positivity rates were significantly increasing at a slope of 0.29 (<i>p</i> < 0.001). A significant increase in slope was noted on August 13, 2020 (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The number of hospitalized patients increased from 139 patients on July 27 to 266 on August 23, 2020, and that of ICU patients increased from 36 to 75.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The port of Beirut explosion resulted in a significant increase in the daily number of positive COVID-19 cases. The aftermath of the explosion, the damage to healthcare facilities, and the overcrowding due to emergency efforts were contributing factors to that increase.</p>","PeriodicalId":29967,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Public Health-Heidelberg","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6","citationCount":"8","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The impact of the Beirut blast on the COVID-19 situation in Lebanon.\",\"authors\":\"Mohamad Y Fares, Umayya Musharrafieh, Abdul Rahman Bizri\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Aim: </strong>On August 4, 2020, a massive explosion hit Lebanon's capital city, Beirut. The aim of this study was to explore the effect of the Beirut blast on the COVID-19 situation in the country.</p><p><strong>Subject and methods: </strong>Data on COVID-19 were retrieved from the Lebanese Ministry of Public Health (LMOPH), where all the COVID-19 positive cases were reported. The study was divided into two periods, considering the incubation period of the COVID-19 virus: (July 27-August 9, 2020) and (August 10-23, 2020). Information obtained included daily number of cases, tests, deaths, hospitalized patients, intensive care unit (ICU) patients, and mode of acquisition (local vs. expat). Daily positivity rates were reported per 100 tests. An independent sample t-test and a Joinpoint regression analysis were used to determine significance. A <i>p</i> value less than 0.05 was considered significant.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 201,010 tests were conducted during our studied period, with 8993 positive cases, constituting a total positivity rate of 4.5 per 100 tests. Case fatality rate over the studied period was 0.8%. The positivity rate of the period prior to August 10, 2020, was 2.7 per 100 tests, significantly less than that of the period following the explosion, which was 6.4 per 100 tests (<i>p</i> < 0.001). During our studied period, daily positivity rates were significantly increasing at a slope of 0.29 (<i>p</i> < 0.001). A significant increase in slope was noted on August 13, 2020 (<i>p</i> < 0.001). The number of hospitalized patients increased from 139 patients on July 27 to 266 on August 23, 2020, and that of ICU patients increased from 36 to 75.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>The port of Beirut explosion resulted in a significant increase in the daily number of positive COVID-19 cases. The aftermath of the explosion, the damage to healthcare facilities, and the overcrowding due to emergency efforts were contributing factors to that increase.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":29967,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Public Health-Heidelberg\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6\",\"citationCount\":\"8\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Public Health-Heidelberg\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Public Health-Heidelberg","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-021-01562-6","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 8
摘要
2020年8月4日,黎巴嫩首都贝鲁特发生大规模爆炸。本研究的目的是探讨贝鲁特爆炸对该国COVID-19形势的影响。对象和方法:从黎巴嫩公共卫生部(LMOPH)检索COVID-19数据,所有COVID-19阳性病例均在黎巴嫩公共卫生部报告。考虑到COVID-19病毒的潜伏期,研究分为两个时期:(2020年7月27日至8月9日)和(2020年8月10日至23日)。获得的信息包括每日病例数、检测结果、死亡人数、住院患者、重症监护病房(ICU)患者以及获取方式(本地vs.外籍)。报告了每100次检测的每日阳性率。采用独立样本t检验和Joinpoint回归分析确定显著性。p值小于0.05为显著性。结果:在我们的研究期间共进行了201,010次检测,阳性病例8993例,总阳性率为每100次检测4.5例。研究期间的病死率为0.8%。2020年8月10日前的阳性率为2.7 / 100例,明显低于爆炸后的6.4 / 100例(p p p)。结论:贝鲁特港爆炸导致每日新冠肺炎阳性病例数显著增加。爆炸的后果、对保健设施的破坏以及因紧急情况而造成的过度拥挤是造成这一数字增加的因素。
The impact of the Beirut blast on the COVID-19 situation in Lebanon.
Aim: On August 4, 2020, a massive explosion hit Lebanon's capital city, Beirut. The aim of this study was to explore the effect of the Beirut blast on the COVID-19 situation in the country.
Subject and methods: Data on COVID-19 were retrieved from the Lebanese Ministry of Public Health (LMOPH), where all the COVID-19 positive cases were reported. The study was divided into two periods, considering the incubation period of the COVID-19 virus: (July 27-August 9, 2020) and (August 10-23, 2020). Information obtained included daily number of cases, tests, deaths, hospitalized patients, intensive care unit (ICU) patients, and mode of acquisition (local vs. expat). Daily positivity rates were reported per 100 tests. An independent sample t-test and a Joinpoint regression analysis were used to determine significance. A p value less than 0.05 was considered significant.
Results: A total of 201,010 tests were conducted during our studied period, with 8993 positive cases, constituting a total positivity rate of 4.5 per 100 tests. Case fatality rate over the studied period was 0.8%. The positivity rate of the period prior to August 10, 2020, was 2.7 per 100 tests, significantly less than that of the period following the explosion, which was 6.4 per 100 tests (p < 0.001). During our studied period, daily positivity rates were significantly increasing at a slope of 0.29 (p < 0.001). A significant increase in slope was noted on August 13, 2020 (p < 0.001). The number of hospitalized patients increased from 139 patients on July 27 to 266 on August 23, 2020, and that of ICU patients increased from 36 to 75.
Conclusion: The port of Beirut explosion resulted in a significant increase in the daily number of positive COVID-19 cases. The aftermath of the explosion, the damage to healthcare facilities, and the overcrowding due to emergency efforts were contributing factors to that increase.