{"title":"第三摩尔成熟度指数在印尼最低法定结婚年龄中的应用:一项试点研究。","authors":"R M Boedi, H Ermanto, T H Skripsa, Y B Prabowo","doi":"","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>IBackground: Child marriage is recognised as a harmful practice. Recently, Indonesia enacted a new law to raise the minimum age of marriage from 16 to 19 years old for women, creating no minimum age difference between males and females. However, this improvement may be detrimental for individuals in remote areas with no legal documentation and the common practices of age falsification to reach the minimum age of marriage. Therefore, implementing an age estimation technique for juveniles is mandatory to reduce the risk of child marriage.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>this study used the third molar maturity index (I3M) to distinguish an individual under or over 19 years old. I3M values from 222 digital OPGs aged between 15 to 23.99 years were calculated. The sample was randomly assigned as a training dataset (n = 156) and testing dataset (n = 66). The logistic regression model was created using a 5-fold cross-validation method, and the Youden's Index Value was used to establish the I3M cut-off value.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>the logistic regression model showed significance in both sex and I3M value for predicting the probability of minimum age of marriage. I3M cut-off values of 0.08 and 0.09 for males and females, respectively, were taken. The accuracy of this test was 80% for both sexes in the testing dataset.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>the outcome of this pilot study showed a promising result of using I3M as a dental age estimation method to determine whether an individual is over or under 19 years old to comply with the newly enacted legal age of marriage in Indonesia. Future research should be carried out using a balanced age cohort for each sex and a more extensive training sample size to investigate the influence of sex in the cut-off value calculation.</p>","PeriodicalId":35728,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forensic Odonto-Stomatology","volume":"40 1","pages":"12-19"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2022-04-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC10228189/pdf/JFOS-40-1-12.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of third molar maturity index for Indonesia minimum legal age of marriage: a pilot study.\",\"authors\":\"R M Boedi, H Ermanto, T H Skripsa, Y B Prabowo\",\"doi\":\"\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>IBackground: Child marriage is recognised as a harmful practice. 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The logistic regression model was created using a 5-fold cross-validation method, and the Youden's Index Value was used to establish the I3M cut-off value.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>the logistic regression model showed significance in both sex and I3M value for predicting the probability of minimum age of marriage. I3M cut-off values of 0.08 and 0.09 for males and females, respectively, were taken. The accuracy of this test was 80% for both sexes in the testing dataset.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>the outcome of this pilot study showed a promising result of using I3M as a dental age estimation method to determine whether an individual is over or under 19 years old to comply with the newly enacted legal age of marriage in Indonesia. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
背景:童婚被认为是一种有害的做法。最近,印度尼西亚颁布了一项新法律,将女性的最低结婚年龄从16岁提高到19岁,男女之间没有最低年龄差距。然而,这种改善可能不利于偏远地区没有法律文件和伪造年龄以达到最低结婚年龄的普遍做法的个人。因此,为减少童婚风险,必须对青少年实施年龄估计技术。方法:用第三磨牙成熟度指数(I3M)来区分19岁以下和19岁以上的人。计算了222例年龄在15 ~ 23.99岁的数字OPGs的I3M值。样本被随机分配为训练数据集(n = 156)和测试数据集(n = 66)。采用5重交叉验证法建立logistic回归模型,采用约登指数(Youden’s Index Value)建立I3M截止值。结果:logistic回归模型对最低结婚年龄概率的预测在性别和I3M值上均具有显著性。男性和女性的I3M截断值分别为0.08和0.09。在测试数据集中,该测试对两性的准确性为80%。结论:本试点研究的结果表明,使用I3M作为牙齿年龄估计方法来确定个人是否超过或低于19岁,以符合印度尼西亚新颁布的法定结婚年龄,结果很有希望。未来的研究应使用平衡的年龄队列对每个性别和更广泛的训练样本量来调查性别在临界值计算中的影响。
Application of third molar maturity index for Indonesia minimum legal age of marriage: a pilot study.
IBackground: Child marriage is recognised as a harmful practice. Recently, Indonesia enacted a new law to raise the minimum age of marriage from 16 to 19 years old for women, creating no minimum age difference between males and females. However, this improvement may be detrimental for individuals in remote areas with no legal documentation and the common practices of age falsification to reach the minimum age of marriage. Therefore, implementing an age estimation technique for juveniles is mandatory to reduce the risk of child marriage.
Methods: this study used the third molar maturity index (I3M) to distinguish an individual under or over 19 years old. I3M values from 222 digital OPGs aged between 15 to 23.99 years were calculated. The sample was randomly assigned as a training dataset (n = 156) and testing dataset (n = 66). The logistic regression model was created using a 5-fold cross-validation method, and the Youden's Index Value was used to establish the I3M cut-off value.
Results: the logistic regression model showed significance in both sex and I3M value for predicting the probability of minimum age of marriage. I3M cut-off values of 0.08 and 0.09 for males and females, respectively, were taken. The accuracy of this test was 80% for both sexes in the testing dataset.
Conclusions: the outcome of this pilot study showed a promising result of using I3M as a dental age estimation method to determine whether an individual is over or under 19 years old to comply with the newly enacted legal age of marriage in Indonesia. Future research should be carried out using a balanced age cohort for each sex and a more extensive training sample size to investigate the influence of sex in the cut-off value calculation.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Forensic Odonto-Stomatology is the official publication of the: INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATION FOR FORENSIC ODONTO-STOMATOLOGY (I.O.F.O.S