Preoperative prediction of lymphovascular invasion of colorectal cancer by radiomics based on 18F-FDG PET-CT and clinical factors.

Abstract

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the value of a clinical radiomics model based on Positron emission tomography-computed tomography (PET-CT) radiomics features combined with clinical predictors of Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) in predicting preoperative LVI in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods: A total of 95 CRC patients who underwent preoperative ¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET-CT examination were retrospectively enrolled. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to analyse clinical factors and PET metabolic data in the LVI-positive and LVI-negative groups to identify independent predictors of LVI. We constructed four prediction models based on radiomics features and clinical data to predict LVI status. The predictive efficacy of different models was evaluated according to the receiver operating characteristic curve. Then, the nomogram of the best model was constructed, and its performance was evaluated using calibration and clinical decision curves.

Results: Mean standardized uptake value (SUVmean), maximum tumour diameter and lymph node metastasis were independent predictors of LVI in CRC patients (P < 0.05). The clinical radiomics model obtained the best prediction performance, with an Area Under Curve (AUC) of 0.922 (95%CI 0.820-0.977) and 0.918 (95%CI 0.782-0.982) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. A nomogram based on the clinical radiomics model was constructed, and the calibration curve fitted well (P > 0.05).

Conclusion: The clinical radiomics prediction model constructed in this study has high value in the preoperative individualized prediction of LVI in CRC patients.