Using the Molecular Transmission Networks to Analyze the Epidemic Characteristics of HIV-1 CRF08_BC in Kunming, Yunnan.

Abstract

HIV-1CRF08_BC is the most prevalent epidemic subtype among heterosexual (HET) and intravenous drug users (IDUs) in Kunming, Yunnan. Using the pol region of gene sequences derived from molecular epidemiological surveys, we developed a molecular transmission network for the purpose of analyzing its epidemiological characteristics, assessing its epidemiological trends, identifying its potential transmission relationships, and developing targeted interventions. HyPhy 2.2.4 was used to calculate pairwise genetic distances between sequences; GraphPad-Prism 8.0 was employed to determine the standard genetic distance; and Cytoscope 3.7.2 was applied to visualize the network. We used the network analysis tools to investigate network characteristics and the Molecular Complex Detection (MCODE) tool to observe the growth of the network. We utilized a logistic regression model to examine the factors influencing clustering and a zero-inflated Poisson model to investigate the factors influencing potential transmission links. At the standard genetic distance threshold of 0.008, 406 out of 858 study participants were clustered in 132 dissemination networks with a total network linkage of 868, and the number of links per sequence ranged from 1 to 19. The MCODE analysis identified three significant modular clusters in the networks, with network scores ranging from 4.9 to 7. In models of logistic regression, HET, middle-aged and elderly individuals, and residents of northern and southeastern Kunming were more likely to enter the transmission network. According to the zero-inflated Poisson model, age, transmission category, sampling year, marital status, and CD4⁺ T level had a significant effect on the size of links. The molecular clusters in Kunming's molecular transmission network are specific and aggregate to a certain extent. HIV-1 molecular network analysis provided information on local transmission characteristics, and these findings helped to determine the priority of transmission-reduction interventions.