Cyclone Prediction Visualization Tools Using Machine Learning Models and Optical Flow

Sabbir A. Rahman, N. Sharmin, Md. Mahbubur Rahman
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Abstract

A tropical cyclone is one of the most egregious natural disasters in the world that brings calamity to coastal lives by hitting the corresponding country's bordering basins since ancient time. The rapid intensification of TC has always been a threat to the coastal peoples living in different corners of the world. Geographical locations and geographical settings of being a low-lying deltaic country could trigger this calamitous event and bring individual hazards like a storm surge, inundation, oceanic flood, and many more. Tracking a tropical cyclone is not an easy task as it shows nonlinear behavior to different models to forecast. However, considering several limitations, experts from different countries use several products like satellite images, numerical data, and radar images to predict the formation, track, and the intensity of a cyclone. However, it is concerning that a full-fledged automatic cyclone prediction visualization tool for the wider populace does not exist. In this work, we are unlikely to provide an absolute automated visualization tool. Rather, we attempted to compensate for the lack of one by creating a prototype of a cyclone prediction and visualization dashboard with Streamlit, a Python framework for rapidly developing machine learning web apps. Furthermore, we considered visualizing the data sets in order to interpret them from various perspectives, and we used optical flow to determine the cyclonic behaviors as another approach.
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使用机器学习模型和光流的气旋预测可视化工具
热带气旋是世界上最严重的自然灾害之一,自古以来就会袭击相应国家的边界盆地,给沿海居民带来灾难。TC的迅速加剧一直是生活在世界各个角落的沿海人民的威胁。作为低洼三角洲国家的地理位置和地理环境可能引发这种灾难性事件,并带来风暴潮、洪水、海洋洪水等个人危害。跟踪热带气旋并不是一件容易的事,因为它对不同的预报模式表现出非线性。然而,考虑到一些局限性,来自不同国家的专家使用卫星图像、数值数据和雷达图像等几种产品来预测气旋的形成、轨迹和强度。然而,令人担忧的是,一个成熟的自动气旋预测可视化工具,为广大民众并不存在。在这项工作中,我们不太可能提供一个绝对自动化的可视化工具。相反,我们试图通过使用Streamlit(用于快速开发机器学习web应用程序的Python框架)创建气旋预测和可视化仪表板的原型来弥补这一不足。此外,我们考虑可视化数据集,以便从不同的角度解释它们,我们使用光流作为另一种方法来确定气旋行为。
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