Are they willing to participate? A review on behavioral economics approach to voters turnout

M. R. Sarkandiz
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Abstract

This article investigates the fundamental factors influencing the rate and manner of Electoral participation with an economic model-based approach. In this study, the structural parameters affecting people's decision making are divided into two categories. The first category includes general topics such as economic and livelihood status, cultural factors and, also, psychological variables. In this section, given that voters are analyzed within the context of consumer behavior theory, inflation and unemployment are considered as the most important economic factors. The second group of factors focuses more on the type of voting, with emphasis on government performance. Since the incumbent government and its supportive voters are in a game with two Nash equilibrium, and also because the voters in most cases are retrospect, the government seeks to keep its position by a deliberate change in economic factors, especially inflation and unemployment rates. Finally, to better understand the issue, a hypothetical example is presented and analyzed in a developing country in the form of a state-owned populist employment plan. Keywords. Voters turnout, Behavioral economics, Bandwagon effect, Economic voters, Hyperbolic memory discount. JEL. A13, C70, D11.
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他们愿意参与吗?选民投票率的行为经济学研究综述
本文运用基于经济学模型的方法,对影响选举参与率和方式的基本因素进行了研究。本研究将影响人们决策的结构参数分为两类。第一类包括一般主题,如经济和生计状况、文化因素以及心理变量。在本节中,考虑到选民在消费者行为理论的背景下进行分析,通货膨胀和失业被认为是最重要的经济因素。第二组因素更多地关注投票的类型,强调政府的表现。由于现任政府和支持它的选民处于一种双纳什均衡的博弈中,而且选民在大多数情况下都是回顾性的,因此政府寻求通过有意改变经济因素,特别是通货膨胀和失业率,来保持自己的地位。最后,为了更好地理解这个问题,本文以一个发展中国家的国有民粹主义就业计划为形式,提出并分析了一个假设的例子。关键词。选民投票率,行为经济学,从众效应,经济选民,双曲记忆折扣。冻胶。A13, c70, d11。
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