TRADE LIBERALIZATION AND DOMESTIC PRIVATE INVESTMENT IN NIGERIA

C. George-Anokwuru
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Abstract

This paper examined the effect of trade liberalization on domestic private investment in Nigeria from 1981 to 2020. To achieve this objective, secondary data on domestic private investment, trade openness, exchange rate and interest rate were sourced from the statistical bulletin of Nigeria’s apex bank. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique was used as the main analytical tool. The ARDL Bounds test revealed the existence of long-run association among the variables. The results revealed that trade openness and exchange rate have positive and insignificant relationship with domestic private investment both in the long and short runs. At the same time, interest rate has a negative relationship with domestic private investment both in the long and short runs. Therefore, it was concluded that there is no significant relationship between trade openness, exchange rate, interest rate and domestic private investment in Nigeria during the period of study. Based on the findings, the study recommended that government should formulate trade policies that will encourage the growth of domestic private investment in Nigeria. To achieve this, the government should ensure consistency in trade policies and at the same time strengthen the existing policies to build investors’ confidence. Also, the government should make available an investment-friendly environment, as well as monitor real sector operators to ensure that foreign exchange allocations are not diverted. Government should increase capital investment in education, housing, transportation, agriculture, health, power, road construction, and national defense, among others that will help the various sectors of the economy to function very well thereby making the business environment friendly to enhance the growth and development of the country. JEL: D01; E20; G10  Article visualizations:
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尼日利亚的贸易自由化和国内私人投资
本文考察了1981年至2020年贸易自由化对尼日利亚国内私人投资的影响。为了实现这一目标,关于国内私人投资、贸易开放、汇率和利率的次级数据来自尼日利亚最高银行的统计公报。自回归分布滞后(ARDL)技术是主要的分析工具。ARDL边界检验显示变量之间存在长期关联。结果表明,无论从长期还是短期来看,贸易开放程度和汇率对国内私人投资都存在显著的正相关关系。同时,利率与国内私人投资在长期和短期均呈负相关。因此,我们得出结论,在研究期间,尼日利亚的贸易开放程度、汇率、利率与国内私人投资之间不存在显著的关系。根据调查结果,该研究建议政府制定贸易政策,鼓励尼日利亚国内私人投资的增长。为了实现这一目标,政府应确保贸易政策的一致性,同时加强现有政策,以建立投资者的信心。此外,政府应提供一个有利于投资的环境,并监督实体部门运营商,以确保外汇分配不被挪用。政府应增加在教育、住房、交通、农业、卫生、电力、道路建设和国防等方面的资本投资,这将有助于各经济部门的良好运作,从而创造有利的商业环境,促进国家的增长和发展。凝胶:D01;E20;G10文章可视化:
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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