Analysis of the Development of Distributed Wind Power in China

Chao Yang, Dong Zhang, Xiaoning Ye
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Abstract

In the context of achieving "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" goals, large-scale wind energy development has become an important way and measure to tackle climate change in major countries around the world. Centralized wind power is usually used in areas with concentrated load resources because of its scale effect and low cost. However, it requires connecting the generated electricity to the grid and transporting it over long distances to load center areas for consumption and utilization. Distributed wind power can be configured in load centers, which provides flexible arrangement and local consumption. In this paper, the development situation of distributed wind power in China for 2020 is analyzed, based on which the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) of distributed wind power in the future is calculated, and the cost changes of this kind power in China both over the past decade and in the future are analyzed from three aspects: Initial investment cost, utilization hours and operation and maintenance rates, consequently the key directions of development are identified to provide reference for the future development of distributed wind power in China.
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中国分布式风电发展分析
在实现“碳调峰和碳中和”目标的背景下,大规模开发风能已成为世界主要国家应对气候变化的重要途径和措施。集中式风力发电具有规模效应和成本低等优点,通常用于负荷资源集中的地区。然而,它需要将产生的电力连接到电网,并将其长距离输送到负荷中心地区消费和利用。分布式风电可配置在负荷中心,布置灵活,就地消纳。本文分析了2020年中国分布式风电的发展情况,在此基础上计算了未来分布式风电的平准化能源成本(LCOE),并从三个方面分析了过去十年和未来中国分布式风电的成本变化:通过对初始投资成本、利用小时数和运维率的分析,确定了分布式风电的重点发展方向,为未来中国分布式风电的发展提供参考。
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