Innovative Strategic Positioning of Capital Flows Mobilization of The Original Five ASEAN Countries: Which are Leading?

Eric J. Nasution, N. K. Hidayat
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Research Aims: The study was conducted to employ the capital flows mobilization (CFM) indicators as the leading economic indicators to determine the leadership role among the five original ASEAN countries. It sought to simplify and answer three research questions on the differences of CFM indicators among the ASEAN countries, their ranks, and how they were positioned in terms of CFM performance and Granger causality risk level. Design/methodology/approach: Nonparametric statistics and the economic game theory using a four-quadrant matrix were used to answer the three research questions. Research Findings: The first hypothesis was accepted, which indicates that the CFM performance among the five original ASEAN countries differed significantly during the period after the Asian financial crisis in 1998 to 2017. The second research question indicated that Malaysia and Singapore were ranked the first in the ISP of CFM, while Thailand, Indonesia, and Philippines came next to these two leading ASEAN countries. The third research question indicated that Malaysia and Singapore were strategically positioned in the first quadrant, which must deploy the maintenance of high-growth CFM. Thailand seemed to occupy the innovative CFM refocus strategy, while Indonesia, the expected leading figure in the region, was only positioned fourth. It was expected to fully liberalize and begin with risk diversification in its CFM. The Philippines remained concentrating in its CFM liberalization. Theoretical Contribution/Originality Few studies are considered in the CFM framework, which is integrated with the ISP and using a four-quadrant matrix as an effective measurement. This study is also measuring the ISP effectiveness of CFM in Southeast Asian countries. Managerial Implication in the South East Asian Context The result of the study will be valuable for determining the strategic position of the capital flow mobilization or CFM leading in South East Asian countries. It will enhance the fundamental role of a country in protecting countries from financial turbulences and also on the effectiveness of monetary policy. Research Limitation & Implications The study focused only on the exploration of how the longitudinal unbalanced panel data of the original ASEAN countries' economic indicators from the year 2000 to 2016 by utilizing a four-quadrant positioning matrix tool. It is also concentrated only on the former mentioned or money, which flowed in and out of a country's economic system in accordance with the realm of innovative strategic positioning.
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东盟原五国资本流动动员的创新战略定位:哪个处于领先地位?
研究目的:采用资本流动动员(CFM)指标作为主导经济指标来确定东盟五国的领导作用。它试图简化和回答三个研究问题,即东盟国家之间CFM指标的差异,它们的排名,以及它们在CFM绩效和格兰杰因果关系风险水平方面的定位。设计/方法/途径:使用四象限矩阵的非参数统计和经济博弈论来回答三个研究问题。研究发现:第一个假设被接受,即1998年至2017年亚洲金融危机后,东盟五国CFM绩效存在显著差异。第二个研究问题表明,马来西亚和新加坡在CFM的ISP中排名第一,而泰国、印度尼西亚和菲律宾紧随其后。第三个研究问题表明,马来西亚和新加坡的战略定位在第一象限,必须部署维持高增长的CFM。泰国似乎采取了创新的CFM重新聚焦战略,而预期在该地区处于领先地位的印度尼西亚仅排在第四位。预计中国将全面放开,并开始在其CFM中分散风险。菲律宾仍然专注于CFM自由化。CFM框架与ISP相结合,使用四象限矩阵作为有效的度量方法,研究较少。本研究也测量了东南亚国家CFM的ISP有效性。本研究的结果将有助于确定资本流动动员或CFM在东南亚国家的战略地位。这将增强一个国家在保护其他国家免受金融动荡影响方面的根本作用,也将增强货币政策的有效性。研究局限与启示本研究仅利用四象限定位矩阵工具,探讨了东盟原始国家2000 - 2016年经济指标的纵向不平衡面板数据是如何被调整的。它也只集中于前者或货币,这些货币是按照创新的战略定位领域流入和流出一个国家的经济体系的。
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