Impact of Import and Export of Energy Supply on the Total Electricity Generation Model

Nur Awatif Ruslan
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Abstract

Renewable and non-renewable sources are crucial especially in the production of electricity. In Malaysia, we are mainly using fossil fuels to generate electricity. To ensure a sufficient amount of energy sources, we require to import these energy supplies. Since Malaysia has a large amount of petroleum and crude oil, we need to export the resources and indirectly, it can contribute by increasing our country's income. Thus, the main purpose of this study is to explore any significant impact of import and export of energy on the total electricity generation in Malaysia. All of the data are taken from the Energy Commission (Malaysia). Range from 1980 until 2017 every year. Ordinary least square (OLS) and correlation analysis have been implemented to achieve the objectives of our study. The energy supply was found to be significant with the total electricity generation exclude the export of crude oil which shows it is insignificant. Then, our findings proved that the highest correlation is between the import of petroleum and import of coal. On the contrary, the import of crude oil is the lowest negatively correlated to the export of crude oil. For the K-S test, it justified that the residuals are normally distributed. Our results confirm the energy supply influences either in a positive or negative impact on the total production of electricity in Malaysia.
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能源供给进出口对总发电量模型的影响
可再生和不可再生能源至关重要,尤其是在发电方面。在马来西亚,我们主要使用化石燃料发电。为了保证能源供应的充足,我们需要进口能源。由于马来西亚有大量的石油和原油,我们需要出口资源,间接地,它可以通过增加我国的收入做出贡献。因此,本研究的主要目的是探讨能源进出口对马来西亚总发电量的重大影响。所有数据均来自马来西亚能源委员会。每年从1980年到2017年。为了达到我们的研究目标,我们实施了普通最小二乘(OLS)和相关分析。能源供应是显著的,总发电量排除原油出口,这表明它是不显著的。然后,我们的研究结果证明了石油进口与煤炭进口之间的相关性最高。相反,原油进口与原油出口负相关程度最低。K-S检验证明残差是正态分布。我们的研究结果证实了能源供应对马来西亚电力总产量的积极或消极影响。
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