Early ICU Mortality Prediction with Deep Federated Learning: A Real-World Scenario

Athanasios Georgoutsos, Paraskevas Kerasiotis, Verena Kantere
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Abstract

The generation of large amounts of healthcare data has motivated the use of Machine Learning (ML) to train robust models for clinical tasks. However, limitations of local datasets and restrictions on sharing patient data impede the use of traditional ML workflows. Consequently, Federated Learning (FL) has emerged as a potential solution for training ML models among multiple healthcare centers. In this study, we focus on the binary classification task of early ICU mortality prediction using Multivariate Time Series data and a deep neural network architecture. We evaluate the performance of two FL algorithms (FedAvg and FedProx) on this task, utilizing a real world multi-center benchmark database. Our results show that FL models outperform local ML models in a realistic scenario with non-identically distributed data, thus indicating that FL is a promising solution for analogous problems within the healthcare domain. Nevertheless, in this experimental scenario, they do not approximate the ideal performance of a centralized ML model.
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基于深度联邦学习的早期ICU死亡率预测:一个真实世界的场景
大量医疗数据的产生促使人们使用机器学习(ML)来训练用于临床任务的稳健模型。然而,本地数据集的局限性和对共享患者数据的限制阻碍了传统ML工作流程的使用。因此,联邦学习(FL)已成为在多个医疗保健中心训练ML模型的潜在解决方案。在本研究中,我们重点研究了使用多元时间序列数据和深度神经网络架构进行ICU早期死亡率预测的二元分类任务。我们利用真实世界的多中心基准数据库,评估了两种FL算法(fedag和FedProx)在此任务中的性能。我们的结果表明,在具有非相同分布数据的现实场景中,FL模型优于本地ML模型,从而表明FL是医疗保健领域类似问题的有前途的解决方案。然而,在这个实验场景中,它们并没有接近集中式机器学习模型的理想性能。
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