Identifying Main Factors of Wind Power Generation Based on Principal Component Regression: A Case Study of Xiamen

Bingqing Wang, Jing Liu, Yongping Li, Guohe Huang, Guan Wang
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Abstract

To realize the goals of carbon reduction, it is important for understanding the driving force of the wind power industry. In this study, a principal component regression (PCR) model is employed to identify the main factors of wind power generation in the City of Xiamen. Results disclose that two principal components have a cumulative contribution rate about 95%. The economic component (contributing 81.9%) is dominated by the proportion of secondary industry (SI) and gross domestic product (GDP). The energy component (contributing 12.9%) is dominated by annual wind speed (WS) and the number of patents (NP). Results can provide desired decision support for clean energy utilization and environmental emission reduction.
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基于主成分回归的风电发电主因素识别——以厦门市为例
为了实现碳减排的目标,了解风电产业的驱动力是很重要的。本研究采用主成分回归(PCR)模型对厦门市风力发电的主要影响因素进行了识别。结果表明,两个主成分的累计贡献率约为95%。经济成分以第二产业(SI)和国内生产总值(GDP)的比重为主,贡献率为81.9%。能量成分以年风速(WS)和专利数(NP)为主,贡献12.9%。研究结果可为清洁能源利用和环境减排提供决策支持。
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