Model of Global Renewable Energy Acceptance Demand Based on MAGICC Integrated with Artificial Bee Colony Algorithm

Zhuonan Li, Xiaoqing Yan, Jun Liu, Jie Yang, Nan Li, Jiujin Zhao
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Currently resource constraints, environmental pollution, and climate change has become hard constraints on energy development. The transformation of energy is of critical importance. The fundamental approach is to achieve clean alternatives on the energy supply side and energy alternatives on the energy consumption side. However, the demand of renewable energy acceptance has not been analyzed and confirmed. In this paper, the global renewable energy demand model has been built and simulated based on the artificial bee colony optimization algorithm in order to analyze the demand of renewable energy acceptance, integrated with the Model for the assessment of greenhouse gas induced climate change, which is also called the MAGICC. The calculation performs the optimization of the object function, which takes the generation performance standard and human development index into consideration, with the proportion of installed capacity of different generator units in Asia, Europe, Africa, North America, South America and Oceania as the variable quantity. As the result of the simulation, the empirical analysis of global demand acceptance of the year 2030 and 2050 were carried out, which shows the green electricity demand acceptance demonstrated by the installed capacity in six continents.
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集成人工蜂群算法的MAGICC全球可再生能源接受需求模型
当前,资源紧张、环境污染和气候变化已成为制约能源发展的硬制约因素。能源的转换是至关重要的。基本方法是在能源供应方面实现清洁替代,在能源消费方面实现能源替代。然而,可再生能源接受的需求并没有得到分析和确认。为了分析可再生能源的接受需求,本文基于人工蜂群优化算法建立了全球可再生能源需求模型并进行了仿真,并与温室气体引起的气候变化评估模型(MAGICC)相结合。计算中以亚洲、欧洲、非洲、北美、南美和大洋洲不同发电机组装机容量所占比例为变量,对目标函数进行优化,考虑发电性能标准和人类发展指标。模拟结果对2030年和2050年的全球需求接受度进行了实证分析,得到了六大洲装机容量所体现的绿色电力需求接受度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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