Equity Risk Factors for the Long and Short Run: Pricing and Performance at Different Frequencies

Terri van der Zwan, Erik Hennink, Patrick Tuijp
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Abstract

We find that the outperformance for Fama-French factors compared to macroeconomic factors in terms of fitting the cross-section of expected returns disappears when accounting for horizon effects. In addition, we obtain novel empirical relations between macroeconomic factors and Fama-French factors at longer horizons. To obtain our results, we introduce a general linear multifactor asset pricing methodology that integrates systematic risk measured at different frequencies into a single pricing equation. Our setup allows for a setting where investors with different investment horizons may experience different levels of systematic risk, which could arise from delayed stock price reaction to systematic factor news.
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股票风险因素的长期和短期:不同频率的定价和表现
我们发现,当考虑地平线效应时,Fama-French因素在拟合预期收益横截面方面优于宏观经济因素的表现消失了。此外,我们还在更长的视域内获得了宏观经济因素与Fama-French因素之间新的经验关系。为了获得我们的结果,我们引入了一种一般的线性多因素资产定价方法,该方法将不同频率测量的系统风险集成到单个定价方程中。我们的设置允许具有不同投资视野的投资者可能经历不同程度的系统风险,这可能源于股票价格对系统因素新闻的延迟反应。
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