110 External validity of thromboprophylaxis guidelines in hip fracture patients: a retrospective analysis

Geneviève Courteau Godmaire, Madeleine Durand, M. Laskine
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Abstract

Objectives Major orthopedic surgeries are recognized risk factors for thrombo-embolic events. Thromboprophylaxis following orthopedic surgery is widely recommended. Yet randomized controlled trials (RCT) evaluating efficacy and safety of thromboprophylaxis in the population with traumatic hip fracture have enrolled a selected group of patients. Patients with traumatic hip fracture often present with multiple comorbidities making them likely to be underrepresented in thromboprophylaxis studies. We hypothesize that randomized controlled trials in support of the CHEST guidelines for thromboprophylaxis following hip surgery for traumatic fracture have a low external validity. We designed a study to measure the prevalence of exclusion criteria from thromboprophylaxis trials in the population that underwent surgery for a traumatic hip fracture at the Centre Hospitalier de l’Université de Montréal (CHUM). We also aimed to quantify the number of transfusions received, number of bleeding events and deaths according to the presence or not of exclusion criteria to randomized controlled trials. Method We identified all original studies supporting the CHEST thromboprophylaxis guidelines for patients suffering a traumatic hip fracture (n=3). We extracted all inclusion and exclusion criteria reported by authors. Then, we conducted a retrospective cohort study on a random selection of all was patients who underwent an urgent traumatic hip fracture surgery at the CHUM from January 1 st 2012 to December 31 2016 Patients (n=250) were randomly selected from the medical archives list (50 patients/year). Data was collected through chart review of the electronic medical charts. For each participant, data on the presence of exclusion criteria, number of transfusions received post-operatively during hospital stay, significant bleeding events, thrombotic events and death were extracted. We used appropriate descriptive statistics, binomial exact confidence intervals and kruskall wallis and fisher’s exact tests to analyze results. Analysis was done using Stata 13. Results We included 250 patients, (172 (68.8%) women, mean age 78.7 SD (13.1)yo). Overall, 164 (66% 95%CI [59% to 71%]) subjects presented at least one exclusion criteria for one of the 3 RCT, and 57 (23%) [95% CI 18% to 29%] presented an exclusion criterion to all trials. No thrombotic event was reported (0%, 95% CI [0% to 1.4%]. There were 114 (46%, 95% CI [39% to 52%]) patients receiving at least one transfusion during the postoperative period. The median number (IQR) of transfusions according to the number of exclusion criteria were: no criteria, 0 (0–1) transfusion; 1 criterion, 0 (0–2); 2 criteria, 0 (0–2); 3 or more criteria, 2 (0–4) (p=0,011). The same trend was observed with significant bleeding events (p<0.001) and mortality (p=0.001), with an increasing proportion of patients experiencing these complications when presenting more exclusion criteria. Conclusions Our results suggest that patients who would have been excluded from the randomized controlled trials supporting the actual thromboprophylaxis guidelines present with more bleeding complications and a higher transfusion need in the postoperative period. There is a trend showing a relation between the number of exclusion criteria and the frequency of bleeding adverse events. This demonstrates that the population excluded from trial may be at higher bleeding risk, therefore, the risk-benefit ratio demonstrated in trials does not apply to this population. Whether thromboprophylaxis may be of benefit to these patients is unknown.
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髋部骨折患者血栓预防指南的外部有效性:回顾性分析
目的主要骨科手术是公认的血栓栓塞事件的危险因素。骨科手术后的血栓预防被广泛推荐。然而,随机对照试验(RCT)评估了创伤性髋部骨折人群中血栓预防的有效性和安全性,并招募了一组选定的患者。外伤性髋部骨折患者通常存在多种合并症,使他们在血栓预防研究中可能代表性不足。我们假设,在外伤性骨折髋部手术后预防血栓形成的CHEST指南中支持随机对照试验的外部有效性较低。我们设计了一项研究,以测量在蒙特雷姆大学医院中心(CHUM)接受外伤性髋部骨折手术的人群中血栓预防试验排除标准的流行程度。我们还旨在根据随机对照试验是否存在排除标准来量化接受输血的次数、出血事件的数量和死亡人数。方法:我们收集了所有支持外伤性髋部骨折患者胸部血栓预防指南的原始研究(n=3)。我们提取了作者报告的所有纳入和排除标准。然后,我们随机选择2012年1月1日至2016年12月31日在CHUM接受紧急外伤性髋部骨折手术的所有患者(n=250)进行回顾性队列研究,患者从医疗档案列表中随机选择(50例/年)。通过电子病历的图表审查收集数据。对于每个参与者,提取有关排除标准、住院期间术后输血次数、重大出血事件、血栓形成事件和死亡的数据。我们使用适当的描述性统计、二项精确置信区间和kruskall wallis和fisher精确检验来分析结果。使用Stata 13进行分析。结果纳入250例患者,其中女性172例(68.8%),平均年龄78.7 SD(13.1)岁。总体而言,164例(66% 95%CI[59% ~ 71%])受试者对3项RCT中的一项至少提出了一项排除标准,57例(23%)[95% CI 18% ~ 29%]受试者对所有试验都提出了排除标准。无血栓事件报告(0%,95% CI[0% ~ 1.4%])。有114例(46%,95% CI[39% ~ 52%])患者在术后至少接受一次输血。按排除标准的输血次数的中位数(IQR)为:无标准,0(0 - 1)次输血;1个准则,0 (0 - 2);2项标准,0 (0 - 2);3个或更多标准,2 (0-4)(p=0,011)。在显著出血事件(p<0.001)和死亡率(p=0.001)中观察到同样的趋势,当提出更多的排除标准时,出现这些并发症的患者比例增加。结论:我们的研究结果表明,那些被排除在支持实际血栓预防指南的随机对照试验之外的患者在术后出现了更多的出血并发症和更高的输血需求。排除标准的数量与出血不良事件的发生频率之间有一定的关系。这表明被排除在试验之外的人群可能有更高的出血风险,因此,试验中证明的风险-收益比并不适用于这一人群。血栓预防是否对这些患者有益尚不清楚。
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57 On the relevance of definitions: three conceptually challenging issues in overdiagnosis 80 Overdiagnosis and error in general practice: the need of a new approach 110 External validity of thromboprophylaxis guidelines in hip fracture patients: a retrospective analysis 33 A tale of two studies: diagnostic algorithms and clinical practice guidelines minimize overdiagnosis and overtreatment and maximize survival in lung cancer screening 116 The surveillance interval of follow-up colonoscopy after an initial colonoscopy: a retrospective study
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