The rate of gross saving: theory and practice

I. Kryuchkova
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Abstract

Scientific justification of the rate of gross savings is one of the key issues in the models of economic growth and a fundamental parameter of economic architectonics in the context of long-term dynamics of growth and structure of total demand. The article aims at demonstrating the genesis of the theory of the rate of gross savings beginning from the classics of political economy to theoretical justifications of the endogenization of the rate of savings in the models of economic growth as well as a detailed consideration of the components of gross savings with the analysis of the factors affecting its level (based on statistical data). It is exactly the empirical analysis that allows testing the validity of theoretical concepts and determining the correctness of the theorists' conclusions. The author shows a great gap between the classical view of the savings rate as a result of the action of natural law, which leads to self-regulation of the parameters of production reproduction, on the one hand, and the purely rational views shaped during the formation and development of the theory and models of economic growth, on the other. Empirical studies have shown that the rate of savings and the rate of capital accumulation are different in the economies of different countries and depend on: the degree of government intervention in the distribution of gross disposable income between institutional sectors and in the structure of households by income level, the level of public social transfers, the depth of income misbalances and expenditure of the institutional sectors and, accordingly, their net borrowing and accumulated debt, as well as on the current phase of the economic cycle and quality of the investment environment. The practical relevance of the study is important to substantiate fiscal policy, especially regarding its impact on the level of gross savings in the non-financial corporations and government sectors, as well as the level of public social and capital expenditures. The article was written within the project on «Macro-prospects of the endogenization of Ukraine’s economic development» (state registration number 0117U006435).
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总储蓄率:理论与实践
总储蓄率的科学论证是经济增长模型中的关键问题之一,也是经济结构在长期动态增长和总需求结构背景下的基本参数。本文旨在从政治经济学的经典开始,论证总储蓄率理论的起源,以及经济增长模型中储蓄率内生的理论依据,并详细考虑总储蓄率的组成部分,分析影响其水平的因素(基于统计数据)。正是实证分析可以检验理论概念的有效性,确定理论家结论的正确性。古典经济学认为储蓄率是自然规律作用的结果,是生产再生产参数的自我调节,这与经济增长理论和模型形成和发展过程中形成的纯粹理性的观点存在很大的差异。实证研究表明,不同国家经济的储蓄率和资本积累率不同,取决于:政府按收入水平、公共社会转移的水平、机构部门的收入不平衡的深度和支出以及相应的它们的净借款和累积债务的干预程度,以及对经济周期当前阶段和投资环境质量的干预程度。这项研究的实际意义对于证实财政政策是重要的,特别是关于财政政策对非金融公司和政府部门的总储蓄水平以及公共社会和资本支出水平的影响。这篇文章是在“乌克兰经济发展内生化的宏观前景”项目(国家注册号为0117U006435)中撰写的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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