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Science and innovation in Ukraine: approaches to policy making in times of war 乌克兰的科学与创新:战争时期的政策制定方法
Pub Date : 2023-01-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.04.077
V. Gryga, Y. Ryzhkova
The full-scale war started by Russia in Ukraine has caused many challenges to economic development, the overcoming of which is hard to be imagined without the research and innovation. Rebuilding R&I became another challenge for Ukrainian policymakers. Thus, the purpose of the paper is to analyze the R&I policy of Ukraine during the war caused by Russia and to develop policy recommendations for the postwar recovery. To achieve it, we used several methods, in particular expert opinion generalization, relevant scientific and policy literature analysis, and statistical analysis. The paper considers three approaches to innovation policy-making at crisis time: produce; procure; repurpose. Currently, Ukraine uses mainly the second one, by buying and receiving modern armament and equipment. Meanwhile, there were some innovative developments in Ukraine, which are not produced in sufficient quantities. After the war, Ukraine couldn’t buy armament due to fiscal constraints. Thus, in the short-run period, the government should reorient efforts toward repurposing of current developments. However, such an approach is not sustainable in the long-run period, when the development of a broader S&T base is required to create a solid base for further repurposing in emergency cases. The war caused massive damage to Ukrainian R&I potential, which by now is not fully measured and quantified. There are two types of damage: physical loss of research and innovation infrastructure (e.g. research facilities, and high-tech enterprises) and «brain drain», both of which should be the focus of R&I policymakers. Therefore, a set of policy measures is proposed to address the war-led challenges in R&I.
俄罗斯在乌克兰发动的全面战争给经济发展带来了许多挑战,如果没有研究和创新,很难想象能够克服这些挑战。重建R&I成为乌克兰政策制定者面临的另一个挑战。因此,本文的目的是分析乌克兰在俄罗斯引起的战争期间的R&I政策,并为战后复苏制定政策建议。为了实现这一目标,我们使用了几种方法,特别是专家意见归纳,相关科学和政策文献分析以及统计分析。本文考虑了危机时期创新决策的三种途径:生产;采购;重新。目前,乌克兰主要采用第二种方式,即购买和接收现代化武器装备。与此同时,乌克兰有一些创新的发展,但产量不足。战后,由于财政拮据,乌克兰无法购买武器。因此,在短期内,政府应重新调整努力方向,以重新利用当前的发展。然而,从长期来看,这种做法是不可持续的,因为需要发展更广泛的科技基础,为在紧急情况下进一步重新利用创造坚实的基础。这场战争对乌克兰的研发潜力造成了巨大的破坏,到目前为止,这种破坏还没有得到充分的衡量和量化。有两种类型的损害:研究和创新基础设施的物理损失(例如研究设施和高科技企业)和“人才流失”,这两者都应该是研发政策制定者关注的焦点。因此,提出了一套政策措施,以解决战争导致的R&I挑战。
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引用次数: 0
A LEADER OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH AT THE TURN OF THE ERA (to the 95th anniversary of I.I.Lukinov) 世纪之交经济研究的领军人物(致卢基诺夫诞辰95周年)
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.03.112
V. Nebrat
The jubilee article presents Academician I. Lukinov's creative and organizational contribution to the development of Ukrainian economic science. The author outlines the areas of the scholar's research in the Soviet period. The significance of I. Lukinov's innovative ideas for overcoming negative trends in the functioning of the planned centralized economy is substantiated. The scientist’s scientific position is revealed as regards the justification of the strategy of market transformations and socio-economic development of Ukraine in the era of state independence.
这篇文章介绍了卢基诺夫院士对乌克兰经济科学发展的创造性和组织性贡献。作者概述了这位学者在苏联时期的研究领域。卢基诺夫的创新思想对于克服计划中央经济运行中的消极趋势的意义得到了证实。科学家的科学立场揭示了在国家独立时代乌克兰市场转型和社会经济发展战略的合理性。
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引用次数: 0
REGULATION OF UKRAINE’S COMMODITY MARKETS IN CONDITIONS OF EMERGENCY AND MARTIAL LAW 在紧急状态和戒严法条件下对乌克兰商品市场的管制
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.03.065
V. Olefir
The economy can function both under normal and extraordinary conditions, which include states of emergency and martial law. Emergency conditions arise from time to time and can be both relatively short and sufficiently long. The functioning of the economy in conditions of emergency and martial law can include overcoming the pandemic and repelling armed aggression. The functioning of the economy in conditions of emergency and martial law requires special methods of state regulation, including on commodity markets. The purpose of the article is to determine methodical approaches to the formation of regulatory policy on commodity markets under conditions of emergency and martial law. To achieve the goal, the following tasks were set: 1) to determine the peculiarities of the regulation of commodity markets in conditions of emergency and martial law; 2) assess the effectiveness of regulatory influence; and 3) substantiate recommendations for improvement of regulatory policy. Various methods of sampling and statistical processing of information were used during the research. Data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the Ministry of Finance of Ukraine, and the State Service of Ukraine on Food Safety and Consumer Protection were used for the analysis. Special attention was paid to the methods of price regulation and increasing supply in commodity markets of consumer goods. One of the main features of the functioning of the economy in conditions of the COVID-19 pandemic and martial law is the disruption of the usual supply chains of goods. There is a commodity shortage in the markets, which accelerates the growth of prices. Therefore, the main task of regulatory policy in commodity markets is to encourage supply and curb inflation. To this end, during 2020-2022, a set of measures was introduced: the procedure for starting a business was simplified, the tax burden was reduced, pricing was deregulated, exports were limited, barriers to imports were lowered, a declaration of intent to increase prices was introduced, price limits were established, etc. As a result of the conducted research, it was found: 1) high efficiency of influence on the price dynamics on the part of export restrictions and tax benefits; 2) low effectiveness of the declaration of the intention to increase the price; 3) relatively high efficiency of setting ceiling prices during a pandemic and low efficiency of this measure under martial law; 3) high expediency of introducing free prices on the markets of goods of significant social importance with high competition between suppliers; 4) great importance of the competition between suppliers to overcome shortages and price stability. In order to improve the regulatory policy in the conditions of emergency and martial law, the following recommendations have been substantiated: 1) canceling the price limits in highly competitive markets; 2) simplifying the procedure for declaring the intention to increase the price and strengthening
经济可以在正常和特殊情况下运行,包括紧急状态和戒严令。紧急情况不时出现,可能相对较短,也可能足够长。在紧急状态和戒严条件下的经济运作可以包括克服这一流行病和击退武装侵略。在紧急状态和戒严法条件下,经济的运行需要特殊的国家管制方法,包括对商品市场的管制。该条的目的是确定在紧急状态和戒严条件下形成商品市场管制政策的方法。为实现这一目标,确定了以下任务:1)确定紧急状态和戒严条件下商品市场管制的特点;2)评估监管影响的有效性;3)提出完善监管政策的建议。在研究过程中,采用了各种抽样和统计处理信息的方法。数据来自乌克兰国家统计局、乌克兰财政部和乌克兰国家食品安全和消费者保护服务局。特别注意调节价格和增加消费品市场供应的方法。在2019冠状病毒病大流行和戒严的情况下,经济运行的主要特征之一是通常的商品供应链遭到破坏。市场上商品短缺,这加速了价格的上涨。因此,商品市场调控政策的主要任务是鼓励供应和抑制通货膨胀。为此,在2020-2022年期间,采取了一系列措施:简化开办企业的程序,减轻税负,放松价格管制,限制出口,降低进口壁垒,发布涨价意向声明,设立价格限制等。研究发现:1)出口限制和税收优惠对价格动态的影响效率高;2)提价意向申报的有效性低;3)疫情期间限价效率相对较高,戒严时期限价效率较低;3)在供应商之间高度竞争的具有重要社会意义的商品市场上实行自由价格的高度权宜之计;4)供应商之间的竞争对克服短缺和价格稳定非常重要。为了改善紧急状态和戒严状态下的管制政策,已提出以下建议:1)取消竞争激烈的市场上的价格限制;(二)简化涨价意向申报程序,加强涨价实施管理;3)在紧急状态和战争情况下,建立具有重要社会意义的战略物资储备。
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引用次数: 0
STRUCTURAL CHANGES IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION SECTOR IN THE CREATIVE ECONOMY SYSTEM OF THE EU COUNTRIES: EXPERIENCE FOR UKRAINE 欧盟国家创意经济体系中信息和通信部门的结构变化:乌克兰的经验
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.03.079
M. Kichurchak
One of the major factors to form a creative economy in the EU countries and Ukraine is the development of the information and communication sector (ICS). The purpose of the article is to evaluate the structural transformation peculiarities of the ICS in the EU countries in the conditions of forming and developing the creative economy and to determine the chief directions of adaptation of this experience to the social and economic situation in Ukraine. Scientific methods of induction, deduction, analysis, synthesis, statistical evaluation of variation, and multiple econometric modelling are used. The author has specified that the ICS contributes to the formation of the creative economy in Ukraine and the EU countries, based on a gradual increase in the share of this sector in output and employment in 2008–2020. The scientific and methodological approach to evaluating of structural changes in the ICS as a component of the creative economy has been formed including: a comparative analysis of the dynamics of output (% of GDP) and employment (% of total) in the ICS between the EU countries and Ukraine; determining the features of spatial differentiation based on calculating the scope of variation, sample variance and coefficient of variation for the main social and economic indicators of ICS; and identifying factors that affect output of the ICS (% of GDP) by means of the multiple regression analysis. In 2008–2020, the existence of different dynamics of the sector’s impact on the development of creative economy in the EU countries is substantiated via the increase in the value of variation in terms of output (% of GDP) and employment (% of total). According to the results of multiple regression analysis, the author has found out the factors influencing the output of the ICS in the EU countries, which include the current social and economic situation in the country, and the amount of expenditures on R&D and on unemployment. Taking into account the experience of the EU countries, it is important for Ukraine to encourage economic activities in the ICS, which are based on structural reforms.
在欧盟国家和乌克兰形成创意经济的主要因素之一是信息和通信部门(ICS)的发展。本文的目的是评价欧盟国家在形成和发展创意经济的条件下,工业技术产业的结构转型特点,并确定这种经验适应乌克兰社会和经济形势的主要方向。运用科学的方法归纳、演绎、分析、综合、变异统计评估和多重计量经济模型。作者指出,基于2008-2020年该部门在产出和就业中的份额逐步增加,ICS有助于乌克兰和欧盟国家创意经济的形成。已经形成了科学和方法论的方法来评估ICS作为创意经济组成部分的结构变化,包括:对欧盟国家和乌克兰之间ICS的产出(占GDP的百分比)和就业(占总数的百分比)的动态进行比较分析;通过计算ICS主要社会经济指标的变异范围、样本方差和变异系数,确定空间分异特征;并通过多元回归分析确定影响工业生产总值产出的因素(GDP的百分比)。2008-2020年,欧盟国家创意经济发展中存在着不同的动态影响,这可以通过产值(占GDP的百分比)和就业(占总量的百分比)的变化值的增加得到证实。根据多元回归分析的结果,笔者找到了影响欧盟国家工业增加值产出的因素,包括国家当前的社会经济状况、研发支出和失业支出。考虑到欧盟国家的经验,乌克兰必须鼓励以结构改革为基础的国际合作社的经济活动。
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引用次数: 0
UKRAINE’S POST-WAR ECONOMY: INTERNATIONAL AID AND GROWTH POLICY 乌克兰战后经济:国际援助与增长政策
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.03.045
O. Pustovoit
The full-scale war unleashed in 2022 by the Russian Federation against Ukraine is accompanied by massive destruction of infrastructure and industrial facilities. Their rapid recovery is impossible without international assistance. However, it is known from history that the use of such aid did not always lead to accelerated post-war recovery of countries whose markets and economies are developing. Knowledge of such facts urged Western scientists to search for a mechanism of aid's impact on economic growth. Researches that began in the 1960s did not shed light on this mechanism. However, they did show that aid speeded up economic growth and recovery in countries that conducted better fiscal, monetary, and trade policies and succeeded in establishing the rule of law. In the article, a slightly different scientific approach is substantiated. It assumes that when the country implements not only a better fiscal, monetary, foreign trade, institutional, but also structural economic policy, the impact of international aid on postwar economic growth can significantly increase. The proposed approach gives grounds for the statement that the limited amount of aid in Ukraine should not be dissipated on the reconstruction of all industrial facilities destroyed and damaged by the war, but it is advisable to concentrate it on the restoration of enterprises that are able to start production and sale of increased technological complexity products on international markets within a short period. The advantages of such use of the aid are shown by calculation. It shows that directing international aid at expanding exports of high technological complexity items would create in Ukraine favorable conditions for increasing the post-war annual growth rates of commodity production to 10% and reduce the period of recovery of this indicator to the 2021 level from 12 to 6 years. At the same time, arguments are given that the proposed use of aid is only a means of shortening the terms of the economy's exit from the crisis and its transition to a state of accelerated growth. It will be possible to turn this state into a long-term economic trend only if an effective mechanism is introduced for encouraging the companies’ innovative activities and attracting foreign investments in industries producing items of increased technological complexity. Modeling possible scenarios of the post-war recovery of Ukraine's economy somewhat expands the scientific understanding of the mechanism of aid's effect on a country’s economic growth. In particular, it is supplemented by the idea that in the post-war period, international aid plays the role of a driver of high rates of a country’s economic growth to the extent that it contributes to economic restructuring of the production from military to civil mode transforming it from technologically simple to more technologically complex.
俄罗斯联邦于2022年对乌克兰发动的全面战争伴随着基础设施和工业设施的大规模破坏。没有国际援助,他们不可能迅速恢复。然而,历史表明,使用这种援助并不总是使市场和经济正在发展的国家在战后加速复苏。了解这些事实促使西方科学家寻找援助对经济增长影响的机制。20世纪60年代开始的研究并没有阐明这一机制。然而,它们确实表明,在实施更好的财政、货币和贸易政策并成功建立法治的国家,援助加速了经济增长和复苏。在这篇文章中,一种稍微不同的科学方法得到了证实。假设一国不仅实施了较好的财政、货币、对外贸易、制度和结构性经济政策,国际援助对战后经济增长的影响可以显著增加。拟议的办法为下述声明提供了理由,即乌克兰有限的援助不应用于重建被战争摧毁和破坏的所有工业设施,而应集中用于恢复那些能够在短期内开始在国际市场上生产和销售日益复杂的技术产品的企业。通过计算表明了这种助剂使用的优点。它表明,将国际援助用于扩大高技术复杂性项目的出口,将为乌克兰创造有利条件,使战后商品生产的年增长率提高到10%,并将该指标的恢复周期从12年缩短到6年至2021年的水平。与此同时,有人提出,拟议中的援助用途只是缩短经济摆脱危机和向加速增长状态过渡的期限的一种手段。只有引入有效的机制,鼓励企业进行创新活动,并在生产技术复杂性增加的产品的行业吸引外国投资,才有可能将这种状态转变为一种长期的经济趋势。对乌克兰战后经济复苏的可能情景进行建模,在一定程度上拓展了对援助对一国经济增长影响机制的科学理解。特别是,在战后时期,国际援助发挥了一个国家经济高速增长的驱动因素的作用,它有助于从军事到民用模式的生产的经济结构调整,使其从技术上简单到技术上更复杂。
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引用次数: 0
STRATEGIES OF ECONOMIC STABILITY IN UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT 不稳定环境下的经济稳定策略
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast.2022.03.006
A. Grytsenko
The article deals with the problems raised in Sergio Mariotti's article on "A warning from the Russian-Ukrainian war: avoiding a future that rhymes with the past". The author supports the proposal for a broader view of the events and for the inclusion of a historical component in the analysis. At the same time, it is argued that a comparative historical analysis might be insufficient to solve such complex problems. The method of ascent from the abstract to the concrete is proposed, which allows considering systemic modern phenomena as a result of the entire previous historical development. On this basis, it is shown that the war in Ukraine is a concrete manifestation of the contradictions of globalization and localization, which historically originated from the jointly-divided labor and reached the apogee of their development in modern times. A hybrid "peace-war" system emerged and the process of changing the world order began based on the transition from industrial-market economy to information-network economy, which naturally increases uncertainties and contradictions. The policy of free trade and the policy of protectionism only are concrete manifestations of the contradictions of globalization and localization. It is shown that as a result of the aggravation of the contradictions of globalization and localization and their specific manifestations, objective tendencies to ensure the national rootedness of the sustainability of economic development arise. The generalization of such trends and their conscious use necessitates the formation of strategies of nationally rooted economic development, which will be relevant until the completion of a new technical and technological system and the formation of an information network based system of socio-economic relations. The article identifies the main features of the strategy of nationally rooted economic development relevant for the current conditions of Ukraine.
这篇文章涉及Sergio Mariotti的文章“俄乌战争的警告:避免与过去押韵的未来”中提出的问题。作者支持从更广泛的角度看待这些事件,并在分析中纳入历史成分的建议。同时,有人认为,比较历史分析可能不足以解决如此复杂的问题。提出了从抽象到具体的上升方法,它允许将系统的现代现象作为整个历史发展的结果。在此基础上,指出乌克兰战争是全球化与本土化矛盾的具体表现,这种矛盾在历史上起源于劳动分工,并在近代达到了发展的顶峰。在工业市场经济向信息网络经济过渡的基础上,出现了一种混合型的“和平-战争”体系,开始了改变世界秩序的进程,这自然增加了不确定性和矛盾。自由贸易政策和保护主义政策只是全球化和本土化矛盾的具体表现。研究表明,由于全球化和本土化矛盾及其具体表现的加剧,出现了确保经济可持续发展的民族根源的客观倾向。这种趋势的普遍化和有意识地加以利用,就必须形成以国家为基础的经济发展战略,这种战略在新的技术和技术系统完成和以信息网络为基础的社会经济关系系统形成之前是有意义的。本文确定了与乌克兰当前情况有关的以国家为基础的经济发展战略的主要特点。
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引用次数: 0
A RHYMED CHRONICLE OF THE WAR 战争的押韵编年史
Pub Date : 2022-12-25 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast.2022.03.016
O. Sharov
Response to the article: Mariotti, Sergio (2022, July 4). A warning from the Russian–Ukrainian war: avoiding a future that rhymes with the past. Journal of Industrial and Business Economics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40812-022-00219-z
对文章的回应:Sergio Mariotti(2022, 7月4日):俄乌战争的警告:避免与过去押音的未来。工商经济杂志。https://doi.org/10.1007/s40812-022-00219-z
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引用次数: 0
Peculiarities of non-financial reporting development in Ukraine 乌克兰非财务报告发展的特殊性
Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.01.119
M. Dielini
Under the condition of sustainable development, corporate social responsibility (CSR) becomes more important, and can be the key to improving the company's image and competitiveness on the market. Areas and forms of CSR implementation are numerous, one of which is the company's reporting on socially responsible practices. The importance of non-financial reporting is also emphasized by the Concept of state policy in the field of promoting corporate social responsibility in Ukraine until 2030 that highlights the necessity to publish non-financial reporting, which substantiates the topic of this scientific article. The purpose of the article is to determine the features of the introduction and dissemination of the practice of compiling and forms of non-financial reporting in Ukraine as a direction of manifestation of social responsibility of business. Methods of the article include analytical, statistical, comparison, and extrapolation ones etc. Theoretical analysis allows determining the main standards by which non-financial reports can be generated. These include: Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), UN Global Compact Report, AA1000 Standard, SA 8000: 2001 Social Responsibility Standard, and ISO 26000 Standard. Among the most common are the GRI Standard and UN Global Compact Report. The practical results of the study reveal that in Ukraine the number of GRI reports has increased compared to 2008, but this development is uneven. A comparison of the number of non-financial reports in Ukraine and Europe according to the Corporate Register found out that the number of reports in European countries has different trends: a decrease in 2017-2018 in some countries (UK, Germany, and France) and a subsequent revival to gradual growth in all countries. Analysis of the Transparency Index, calculated by the Center for the Development of Corporate Social Responsibility that considers the websites of companies based on CSR information for the period 2012-2020 reflects a change of countries that are leaders in this indicator. A positive characteristic is that among the TOP-10 companies there are not only private enterprises, but also state-owned ones. Overall indicators of CSR practices tend to increase and reflect the growing importance of this area of corporate social responsibility.
在可持续发展的条件下,企业社会责任(CSR)变得更加重要,它可以成为提高企业形象和市场竞争力的关键。企业社会责任实施的领域和形式有很多,其中之一就是企业对社会责任实践的报告。非财务报告的重要性也被国家政策概念所强调,该概念强调了乌克兰到2030年促进企业社会责任领域发布非财务报告的必要性,这证实了这篇科学文章的主题。本文的目的是确定乌克兰的非财务报告编制实践和形式的介绍和传播的特点,作为企业社会责任表现的方向。本文的研究方法包括分析法、统计法、比较法、外推法等。理论分析可以确定产生非财务报告的主要准则。这些标准包括:全球报告倡议组织(GRI)、联合国全球契约报告、AA1000标准、sa8000: 2001社会责任标准和ISO 26000标准。其中最常见的是GRI标准和联合国全球契约报告。研究的实际结果表明,与2008年相比,乌克兰GRI报告的数量有所增加,但这种发展是不平衡的。根据《公司登记册》对乌克兰和欧洲的非财务报告数量进行比较发现,欧洲国家的报告数量有不同的趋势:一些国家(英国、德国和法国)在2017-2018年有所减少,随后所有国家都恢复到逐渐增长。企业社会责任发展中心(Center for the Development of Corporate Social Responsibility)根据2012年至2020年的企业社会责任信息,对企业网站计算的透明度指数进行分析,反映出该指标领先国家的变化。一个积极的特点是,前10名企业中既有民营企业,也有国有企业。企业社会责任实践的总体指标趋于增加,反映了企业社会责任这一领域日益增长的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Current state and prospects of organic production development in Ukraine: looking to the future 乌克兰有机生产发展的现状和前景:展望未来
Pub Date : 2022-08-03 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2022.01.138
K. Prokopenko, Liudmyla Udova
The article substantiates the importance of the production of organic agricultural products as a component of a healthy lifestyle, as well as ensuring the preservation and restoration of the environment. The authors reveal the ecological, economic and social benefits of organic production, in particular, preservation of the nation’s natural and health; reproduction of soil fertility; increased competitiveness of domestic producers on internal and foreign markets; improving the welfare of the rural population, etc. It is stated that organic production includes the conscious use of soil as an ecosystem; application of production methods and preventive protection of crops. It is established that presently the interest of consumers in the consumption of environmentally friendly foods, whose production has no negative impact on the environment, is currently growing. The study of the global organic market shows an active growth in both the number of organic producers and the output of organic products. The market of organic products in Ukraine is at an early stage of development, but there is a steady trend towards increased number of organic producers, expanded range of certified products, and increased exports of organic foodstuffs. The authors analyze a number of factors hindering the development of organic production in Ukraine, in particular, the lack of public awareness of the properties of organic foods and their difference from conventional ones; shortage of qualified specialists in producing organic foods; insufficient solution of logistical problems; low purchasing power of the population, etc. The key changes in EU legislation on organic production are considered, one of the important innovations being the possibility of using "group certification", which allows small farmers to unite, produce and jointly pass the certification of organic products. Emphasis is placed on the prospects of this model for Ukrainian producers. The study shows the possibility of using organic foods in schools based on the example of the positive experience of EU countries – for the growing a healthy, conscious and responsible generation that will take care of the future of the state.
这篇文章证实了有机农产品生产作为健康生活方式组成部分的重要性,以及确保环境的保护和恢复。作者揭示了有机生产的生态、经济和社会效益,特别是对国家自然和健康的保护;土壤肥力的再生产;提高国内生产商在国内外市场上的竞争力;提高农村人口福利等。有人指出,有机生产包括有意识地利用土壤作为一个生态系统;生产方法的应用及作物的预防保护。可以确定的是,目前消费者对环境友好型食品的消费兴趣正在增长,其生产对环境没有负面影响。对全球有机市场的研究表明,有机生产者的数量和有机产品的产量都在积极增长。乌克兰的有机产品市场处于发展的早期阶段,但有机生产者数量增加,认证产品范围扩大,有机食品出口增加的趋势稳定。作者分析了阻碍乌克兰有机生产发展的一些因素,特别是缺乏公众对有机食品的特性及其与传统食品的区别的认识;缺乏生产有机食品的合格专家;后勤问题解决不足;人口购买力低等等。本文考虑了欧盟有机生产立法的关键变化,其中一个重要的创新是使用“团体认证”的可能性,它允许小农联合起来,生产并共同通过有机产品的认证。重点放在这种模式对乌克兰生产商的前景上。根据欧盟国家的积极经验,这项研究显示了在学校使用有机食品的可能性——为了培养健康、有意识和负责任的一代,他们将照顾国家的未来。
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引用次数: 0
Formation of institutional structural determinants of endogenous influence on the level of gross saving in Ukraine 形成内生影响乌克兰总储蓄水平的制度结构决定因素
Pub Date : 2021-11-29 DOI: 10.15407/econforecast2021.03.028
I. Kryuchkova
The article analyzes domestic institutional structural determinants of gross saving (GS) in Ukraine in order to identify the causes of the critical decline in GS and, accordingly, in gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) in 2019-2021. The diagnosis was made based on indicators of annual and quarterly national accounts of Ukraine with the definition of positive and negative factors influencing GS by institutional sectors, as well as subsectors of nonfinancial corporations and households. This approach made it possible to reveal the hidden causes of the decline in gross saving in Ukraine, as well as the decline in GS capitalization and the deep investment crisis in 2020. The author shows that the shock tariff increase in 2015 provoked a significant redistribution of income and savings between the institutional sectors and their subsectors. It is found that of all structural determinants, fluctuations in the level of GS in the subsector of private nonfinancial corporations are most affected by the changes in the share of gross operating surplus, (GOS) and by the large-scale outflow of financial resources through the property income channel, which varies closely depending on the growth of borrowing. These fluctuations are also affected by zero and abrupt cycles in raising the minimum wage. At the same time, it is proved that the inconsistency of the government's tariff and social policies created a two-fold gap between the statutory social standards and their actual level, which led to significant decline in living standards, especially for the recipients of property income and transfer incoms, turning them into chronic negative borrowers with negative gross saving. This had a negative impact on the GS of the whole household sector. Deepening the analysis to the level of GS structural determinants of the households subsectors shows that the high levels of GS in the subsector of self-employed workers and the subsector of employers do not correspond to the low levels of their gross fixed capital formation, i.e. a significant share of GS of these subsectors does not become a full source of national investment. The author outlines the directions for desired changes in the structural determinants of endogenous impact on the GS level in the household sector and proposes a number of government measures that could positively affect the distribution of income between the institutional sectors and subsectors and, accordingly, the level of GS/
本文分析了乌克兰总储蓄(GS)的国内制度结构决定因素,以确定2019-2021年总储蓄和固定资本形成总额(GFCF)临界下降的原因。诊断是根据乌克兰年度和季度国民核算指标作出的,并按机构部门以及非金融公司和家庭的分部门定义了影响GS的积极和消极因素。这一方法使得揭示乌克兰总储蓄下降的隐性原因,以及2020年GS资本化下降和深度投资危机成为可能。作者表明,2015年的冲击式关税上调引发了机构部门与其子部门之间收入和储蓄的显著再分配。研究发现,在所有结构性决定因素中,私营非金融公司分部门的总营业盈余(GOS)份额的变化和金融资源通过财产性收入渠道的大规模流出(后者的变化与借贷的增长密切相关)对GS水平的波动影响最大。这些波动还受到提高最低工资零周期和突然周期的影响。同时,证明了政府关税和社会政策的不一致性造成了法定社会标准与实际水平之间的双重差距,导致生活水平显著下降,特别是财产性收入和转移性收入的接受者,成为总储蓄为负的长期负借款人。这对整个家庭部门的GS产生了负面影响。深化对家庭分部门的GS结构决定因素水平的分析表明,个体经营者分部门和雇主分部门的高GS水平与他们的总固定资本形成的低水平不相对应,即这些分部门的很大一部分GS并没有成为国家投资的全部来源。作者概述了对家庭部门国内生产总值水平内生影响的结构性决定因素的预期变化方向,并提出了一些政府措施,这些措施可能对机构部门和分部门之间的收入分配产生积极影响,从而对国内生产总值水平产生积极影响
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引用次数: 0
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Economy and Forecasting
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