Exchange rate, macroeconomic fundamentals and international trade

Catherine S. F. Ho, N. A. Karim
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

This paper aims to investigate significant relation between exchange rates, macroeconomic fundamentals and international trade of a group of Asian countries from 1980 to 2009. International trade is imperative to the progress of developing countries to induce investments and earn foreign exchange in this liberalized and globalized borderless world. Regression analyses reveal that market size and exchange rate play very important function in the promotion of international trade. Growth in population has significant negative effects on developed nations: Japan and Singapore, but has positive effects on the Philippines. Additionally, inflation rate affects the Philippines and India negatively, while financial market development is only marginally significant on total trade of Singapore and India. Results from the study present policy implications to emerging and developed Asian countries on strategies to facilitate international trade and enhance growth.
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汇率、宏观经济基本面和国际贸易
本文旨在研究1980年至2009年一组亚洲国家的汇率、宏观经济基本面与国际贸易之间的显著关系。国际贸易对发展中国家在这个自由化和全球化无国界的世界中吸引投资和赚取外汇的进展是必不可少的。回归分析表明,市场规模和汇率对国际贸易的促进作用非常重要。人口增长对发达国家(日本和新加坡)有显著的负面影响,但对菲律宾有积极影响。此外,通货膨胀率对菲律宾和印度的影响是负面的,而金融市场的发展对新加坡和印度的贸易总额只有轻微的影响。研究结果对亚洲新兴国家和发达国家促进国际贸易和促进增长的战略提出了政策启示。
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