Novel Consumer Classification Scheme for Smart Grids

Kálmán Tornai, Lóránt Kovács, A. Oláh, Rajmund Drenyovszki, Istvan Pinterm, David Tisza, J. Levendovszky
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Classifying different type of consumers (households, office buildings and industrial plants) is an important task in Smart Grids. In this paper, we propose a novel classification scheme based on nonlinear prediction for consumption timeseries obtained from a smart meter. The candidate predictors were tested under different assumptions regarding the statistical behavior of the underlying consumption time-series. As a result a feedforward neural network based predictor has been shown to be the most promising solution. In order to demonstrate the power of the proposed method simulations have been carried out. The consumption data came from a bottom up model, where Markov model of individual appliances and real measurements of photo-voltaic generators have been applied. The numerical results prove that our method is capable of distinguishing an office-building with installed photo voltaic mini power plant from an office-building which is lack of such power plant.
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一种新的智能电网用户分类方案
对不同类型的用户(家庭、办公楼和工业厂房)进行分类是智能电网的一项重要任务。本文提出了一种基于非线性预测的智能电表用电量时序分类方案。候选预测因子在关于潜在消费时间序列的统计行为的不同假设下进行了测试。因此,基于前馈神经网络的预测器已被证明是最有希望的解决方案。为了证明该方法的有效性,进行了仿真。消费数据来自一个自下而上的模型,其中应用了单个设备的马尔可夫模型和光伏发电机的实际测量。数值结果表明,该方法能够将安装了微型光伏电站的办公大楼与未安装微型光伏电站的办公大楼区分开来。
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