China's poverty alleviation “miracle” from the perspective of the structural transformation of the urban–rural dual economy

Fan Gao
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

PurposePoverty alleviation has been a major theme of China's modernization process since the founding of New China. This paper points out that China's poverty alleviation process presents three stylized facts: “Miraculous” achievements of poverty alleviation have been made on a global scale; the poverty alleviation achievements mainly occurred in the high growth stage after reform and opening up; the poverty alleviation process is accompanied by the structural transformation of the urban–rural dual economy.Design/methodology/approachTherefore, a logically consistent analytical framework should form among the structural transformation of the dual economy, economic growth and the achievements in poverty alleviation. In logical deduction, the structural transformation of the dual economy affects rural poverty alleviation through the effects of labor reallocation, agricultural productivity improvement, demographic change and fiscal resource allocation.FindingsThe first two refer to economic growth, and the latter two are alleviation policies. The combination of economic growth and poverty alleviation policies is the main cause for poverty alleviation performance. China's empirical evidence can support the four effects by which the structural transformation of the dual economy affects poverty alleviation.Originality/valueChina's socialist system and its economic system transformation after reform and opening up provide an institutional basis for the effects to come into play. After 2020, China's poverty alleviation strategies will enter the “second-half” phase, namely, the phase of solving the problems of relative poverty in urban and rural areas by adopting conventional methods and establishing long-term mechanisms. This requires the facilitation of the reconnection between poverty alleviation strategies and the structural transformation of the dual economy in terms of development ideas and policy directions.
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城乡二元经济结构转型视角下的中国扶贫“奇迹”
自新中国成立以来,扶贫一直是中国现代化进程的一个重要主题。本文指出,中国的扶贫进程呈现出三个程式化的事实:在全球范围内取得了“奇迹般”的扶贫成就;扶贫成果主要出现在改革开放后的高增长阶段;扶贫过程伴随着城乡二元经济的结构转型。因此,在二元经济的结构转型、经济增长和扶贫成果之间应该形成一个逻辑上一致的分析框架。从逻辑上推演,二元经济的结构转型通过劳动力再配置、农业生产率提高、人口结构变化和财政资源配置的效应来影响农村扶贫。前两项是经济增长,后两项是缓解政策。经济增长与扶贫政策的结合是造成扶贫成效的主要原因。中国的经验证据可以支持二元经济结构转型对扶贫的四种影响。中国的社会主义制度和改革开放后的经济体制转型,为这种效应的发挥提供了制度基础。2020年以后,中国的扶贫战略将进入“下半场”阶段,即采用常规方法和建立长效机制解决城乡相对贫困问题的阶段。这就需要在发展思想和政策方向上,促进减轻贫穷战略与二元经济的结构转变之间的重新联系。
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