{"title":"Will Consumers Find Vertically Farmed Produce \"Out of Reach\"?","authors":"B. D. Coyle, Brenna Ellison","doi":"10.22004/AG.ECON.253382","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"An Introduction to Vertical Farming The global population is expected to increase to 9.7 billion people by 2050, approximately 2.4 billion more mouths to feed than we have today (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2015). This likely means more food will need to be produced, yet there are concerns about the scarcity and quality of critical inputs for future food production. Lotze-Campen et al. (2008) note that land previously used for agricultural production will likely be converted for other purposes such as urbanization, infrastructure development, bioenergy production, or biodiversity protection. Others researchers caution that high-quality water and soil inputs may also be constrained (Tilman et al., 2002; Ehrlich, Ehrlich, and Daily, 1993). Climate change is also expected to be a major challenge for agricultural production in the coming years due to warming temperatures, increased carbon dioxide emissions, and more severe weather events (Howden et al., 2007). Climate change models predict that agricultural losses will be greatest in the developing world (Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994), especially in southern Asia and Africa (Parry, Rosenzweig, and Livermore, 2005).","PeriodicalId":185368,"journal":{"name":"Choices. The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resources Issues","volume":"170 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1900-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"29","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Choices. The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resources Issues","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.22004/AG.ECON.253382","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 29
Abstract
An Introduction to Vertical Farming The global population is expected to increase to 9.7 billion people by 2050, approximately 2.4 billion more mouths to feed than we have today (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, 2015). This likely means more food will need to be produced, yet there are concerns about the scarcity and quality of critical inputs for future food production. Lotze-Campen et al. (2008) note that land previously used for agricultural production will likely be converted for other purposes such as urbanization, infrastructure development, bioenergy production, or biodiversity protection. Others researchers caution that high-quality water and soil inputs may also be constrained (Tilman et al., 2002; Ehrlich, Ehrlich, and Daily, 1993). Climate change is also expected to be a major challenge for agricultural production in the coming years due to warming temperatures, increased carbon dioxide emissions, and more severe weather events (Howden et al., 2007). Climate change models predict that agricultural losses will be greatest in the developing world (Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994), especially in southern Asia and Africa (Parry, Rosenzweig, and Livermore, 2005).
到2050年,全球人口预计将增加到97亿,比我们今天多出大约24亿张嘴(联合国,经济和社会事务部,2015年)。这可能意味着需要生产更多的粮食,但人们对未来粮食生产的关键投入物的稀缺和质量感到担忧。Lotze-Campen等人(2008)指出,以前用于农业生产的土地可能会被转换为其他目的,如城市化、基础设施发展、生物能源生产或生物多样性保护。其他研究人员警告说,高质量的水和土壤投入也可能受到限制(Tilman et al., 2002;Ehrlich, Ehrlich, and Daily, 1993)。由于气温变暖、二氧化碳排放增加和更严重的天气事件,预计气候变化也将成为未来几年农业生产的主要挑战(Howden et al., 2007)。气候变化模型预测,发展中国家的农业损失将最大(Rosenzweig和Parry, 1994),特别是南亚和非洲(Parry, Rosenzweig和Livermore, 2005)。