A Short-term Load Forecasting Method Considering Multiple Influencing Factors

Ma Longpeng, Wang Zhe, Xia Yinyong, Cen Baoyi, Wang Xin
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Abstract

In this paper, a short-term load forecasting technology considering multiple influencing factors is proposed to improve the reliability of short-term load forecasting from the two aspects of influencing factors and model selection. Firstly, the influence factors of power load are summarized and analyzed, and then the influencing factors are optimized and sorted by the XGBoost algorithm. Finally, the short-term load forecasting results are obtained by RNN and LSTM training model. Simulation results show that the proposed method has good accuracy.
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考虑多种影响因素的短期负荷预测方法
本文从影响因素和模型选择两方面,提出了一种考虑多影响因素的短期负荷预测技术,以提高短期负荷预测的可靠性。首先对电力负荷的影响因素进行总结和分析,然后利用XGBoost算法对影响因素进行优化排序。最后,通过RNN和LSTM训练模型得到短期负荷预测结果。仿真结果表明,该方法具有较好的精度。
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