A Study on Missing Data Imputation Methods for Improving Hourly Solar Dataset

Quoc-Thang Phan, Yuan-Kang Wu, Q. Phan, Hsin-Yen Lo
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

In the era of big data, large period of missing data is a common problem which affect the data quality and final forecasting results if not handled properly. Therefore, filling missing data in datasets is importance since the most of real-time datasets have a huge number of missing values. This paper first gives a comprehensive overview of various imputation methods for filling missing data. Then proposes a technique based on a popular Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equation (MICE) to fill numeric data in PV dataset. Finally analyses the impact of this technique and compares the performance with other imputation algorithms. For practice, this study uses historical measurement PV generation from the North PV site of Taiwan, and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data consists of solar irradiance, temperature, sea level pressure, humidity, rainfall, wind speed. The NWP dataset is provided by Taiwan Central Weather Bureau (CWB) which is called Deterministic Weather Research and Forecasting (WRFD). Experimental results showed that the proposed imputation algorithm can improve short-term PV generation forecasting accuracy based on RMSE.
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改进逐时太阳数据集缺失数据的方法研究
在大数据时代,大周期的数据缺失是一个普遍存在的问题,如果处理不当,会影响数据质量和最终的预测结果。因此,由于大多数实时数据集都有大量的缺失值,因此在数据集中填充缺失数据非常重要。本文首先全面概述了填补缺失数据的各种方法。在此基础上,提出了一种基于链式方程(MICE)的多变量插值技术来填充PV数据集中的数值数据。最后分析了该方法的影响,并与其他算法进行了性能比较。本研究采用台湾北部PV站点的历史测量PV发电量,数值天气预报(NWP)数据包括太阳辐照度、温度、海平面压力、湿度、降雨量、风速。NWP数据集由台湾中央气象局(CWB)提供,称为确定性天气研究与预报(WRFD)。实验结果表明,该算法可以提高基于RMSE的短期光伏发电预测精度。
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