AUTOMATION OF FORECASTING DEVELOPMENT PROCESSES OF COMPLEX TECHNICAL SYSTEMS

Станислав Назаревич, S. Nazarevich
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Abstract

The article presents a summary of the method for predicting the technical potential of a complex technical system. The method consists in considering the life cycle curve in the form of a group of indicators reflecting not only the technical side of the functional characteristics of the product produced or the volume sold in a short time interval, but also indicators of competitiveness and equipment of the enterprise implementing this type of products. A model for assessing industrial competitiveness, including the interpretation of interval characteristics, is presented, and a graphical representation of the life cycle curve in an enlarged composition is also presented.
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复杂技术系统预测开发过程的自动化
本文概述了预测复杂技术系统技术潜力的方法。该方法是将生命周期曲线以一组指标的形式考虑,这些指标不仅反映了生产的产品的功能特性的技术方面或短时间间隔内的销售量,而且还反映了实施这类产品的企业的竞争力和设备指标。本文提出了一个评估产业竞争力的模型,包括对区间特征的解释,并提出了一个扩大构成的生命周期曲线的图形表示。
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