Competition for pipeline export routes in the Caspian region: The new Great Game of the new Silk Road?

Serik Orazgaliyev, W. Ostrowski, Paul Kubicek
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

It has often been argued that since 1991 Central Asian and Caspian region had become a playground for the New Great Game between the global superpowers. Analysing the geopolitical competition for Caspian energy resources, this article argues that the New Great Game framework has its limitations as it fails to incorporate the active role played by the Newly Independent Caspian (NIC) states. One cannot deny the fact that the strategic competition among the geopolitical powers for hydrocarbon resources of the Caspian shaped the trajectories of the new pipeline routes. At the same time, the NIC states, namely, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan benefited from the competition as they managed to diversify their export options, achieving greater political and economic independence. In the end, the interaction between the NIC states and energy consumers has led to strengthened energy cooperation along the same area where the ancient Silk Road crossed East Asia, Central Asia and Europe. The findings support the theoretical argument of the article, which stipulates that in exploring the developments in the Caspian region both realist and liberal theories of international relations should be applied in conjunction.
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里海地区管道出口路线的竞争:新丝绸之路的新大博弈?
人们经常认为,自1991年以来,中亚和里海地区已成为全球超级大国之间新大博弈的游乐场。本文分析了里海能源的地缘政治竞争,认为新大博弈框架有其局限性,因为它没有纳入新独立的里海国家所发挥的积极作用。不可否认的事实是,地缘政治大国之间对里海碳氢化合物资源的战略竞争决定了新管道路线的轨迹。与此同时,NIC国家,即阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和土库曼斯坦从竞争中受益,因为它们设法使出口选择多样化,实现了更大的政治和经济独立。最后,NIC国家与能源消费国之间的互动,使得古丝绸之路横跨东亚、中亚和欧洲的同一地区的能源合作得到加强。调查结果支持文章的理论论点,其中规定,在探讨里海地区的发展时,国际关系的现实主义理论和自由主义理论应同时适用。
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