Information Modification for Time-Limited Decision Making

William I. N. Sealy, K. Feigh
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Decision support systems (DSS) are valuable tools for information management and decision making guidance, and are vital in decision environments that are inherently dynamic or that leverage a time pressure on the operator. In this work, we detail the application and effectiveness of several decision support techniques in a time-limited decision environment. These techniques, namely heuristic (HIA) and optimal experimental design (OED) information acquisition/restriction, represent heuristic and probabilistic approaches to decision support. In addition to these techniques, participants were given a selection of tasks that allowed free acquisition of information in order to determine their default behavior. Results show that all heuristic and one of the two probabilistic decision support strategies increased accuracy, and that all strategies resulted in faster decision making. Furthermore, free acquisition analysis indicates that participants default to probabilistic strategies even during extended periods of poor performance, which complicates the discussion around “optimal” decision support strategy.
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限时决策的信息修改
决策支持系统(DSS)是信息管理和决策指导的重要工具,在本质上是动态的决策环境或对作业者施加时间压力的决策环境中至关重要。在这项工作中,我们详细介绍了几种决策支持技术在有限时间决策环境中的应用和有效性。这些技术,即启发式(HIA)和最优实验设计(OED)信息获取/限制,代表了决策支持的启发式和概率方法。除了这些技巧之外,参与者还被分配了一些任务,这些任务允许自由获取信息,以确定他们的默认行为。结果表明,所有启发式决策支持策略和两种概率决策支持策略中的一种都提高了决策的准确性,并且所有策略都能更快地做出决策。此外,自由习得分析表明,即使在长时间表现不佳的情况下,参与者也会默认概率策略,这使得围绕“最佳”决策支持策略的讨论变得复杂。
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