The Demand-Driven Information Market

Shiyang Huang, Dan Li, Bohui Zhang
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Abstract

We hypothesize a demand-driven information market where information production is tailored by investors’ investment constraints. Using a comprehensive data set of news releases and institutional equity holdings during the 2000–2016 period, we show that more negative (positive) news are produced for stocks overweighed (underweighted) by institutions. A natural experiment based on the 2003 mutual funds scandal confirms the negative relation between institutional investment constraints and news sentiment. The effect is more pronounced when the cost of information production is higher, especially when the distance between the information producer and a firm headquarter is larger. The asymmetry in information production causes stock returns to display negative skewness, increasing the probability for overweighed stocks to experience large negative price movement in the future.
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需求驱动的信息市场
我们假设一个需求驱动的信息市场,其中信息生产是由投资者的投资约束来定制的。使用2000-2016年期间的新闻发布和机构股票持有量的综合数据集,我们表明,对于机构增持(减持)的股票,会产生更多的负面(正面)新闻。基于2003年共同基金丑闻的自然实验证实了机构投资约束与新闻情绪之间的负相关关系。当信息生产成本较高时,特别是当信息生产者与企业总部的距离较大时,这种效应更为明显。信息生产的不对称导致股票收益呈现负偏态,增加了权重过重的股票在未来经历大幅负价格变动的可能性。
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