Investment Opportunities in The Time Of (COVID-19) Spread: The Case of Cryptocurrencies and Metals Markets

Mansour Abdelrhim, Abdullah M. Elsayed, Mahmoud Mohamed, Mahmoud Farouh
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引用次数: 9

Abstract

The global financial and economic crises remain a controversial topic among the categories of investors, there are those who can see and seize investment opportunities, and there are some individuals who are proficient in investing in difficult economic conditions and can create opportunities even in the most difficult crises. With the emergence of the corona virus in China, it quickly became a global pandemic and caused tremendous damage to many global financial and economic markets.

This paper aims to shed light on investment opportunities in the global markets in light of the spread of the corona virus around the world, by studying the effect of the corona virus on the returns of the cryptocurrency currency and global metals markets traded in the US dollar, where the research period was determined based on the spread of the virus at a level The world, from the date of 25/3/2020 to 25/6/2020, and the best cryptocurrency currencies were chosen in terms of market value and trading during the research period and were Bitcoin, Ethereum and Tether, and the best metals in terms of popularity and trading were gold, silver and copper. Corona virus was measured by indicators of virus spread, which are the number of daily cases, cumulative cases and the number of daily deaths and cumulative deaths, at the level of 213 countries around the world, and the dependent variable represented in the cryptocurrency and metal markets was measured by the daily returns of the investment opportunities that were chosen in each market.

The research results showed that the cryptocurrency currency markets are affected by the spread of the corona virus and the independent variable was the most influential (Total Deaths) variable on all investment opportunities in the cryptocurrency market. The Total Deaths variable had more influence on the Gold market, and Total Cases variable had more influence on both Silver and Copper in the metals market.

The results also showed that there were no statistically significant differences between the average return on investment for the cryptocurrency currency markets and the metal markets, where the significance of the test reached (0.889), which is greater than the level of significance of 5%, due to the convergence of the average levels of the markets during the period of coronary virus spread throughout the world.

The best investment opportunities according to the return on investment index during the research period were, for cryptocurrency currency markets, the return on investment on Ethereum was (72.02%), then Bitcoin (38.98%), then Tether (0.23%), and in relation to the metal markets, the return was on the investment for Silver was (42.16%), then Copper (20.75%), then Gold (8.54%).
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(COVID-19)蔓延时期的投资机会:加密货币和金属市场的案例
全球金融和经济危机仍然是投资者类别中有争议的话题,有些人可以看到并抓住投资机会,有些人精通在困难的经济条件下投资,甚至可以在最困难的危机中创造机会。随着新冠肺炎疫情在中国出现,疫情迅速演变为全球大流行,给全球多个金融经济市场造成巨大破坏。本文旨在通过研究冠状病毒对加密货币和以美元交易的全球金属市场回报的影响,揭示在冠状病毒在全球范围内传播的情况下,全球市场的投资机会,其中研究期间是根据病毒在全球范围内的传播情况确定的,从2020年3月25日到2020年6月25日。在研究期间,就市场价值和交易而言,选择的最佳加密货币是比特币,以太坊和Tether,而就受欢迎程度和交易而言,最好的金属是黄金,白银和铜。冠状病毒是通过病毒传播指标来衡量的,这些指标是全球213个国家的每日病例数、累计病例数、每日死亡人数和累计死亡人数,而加密货币和金属市场中代表的因变量是通过每个市场中选择的投资机会的每日回报来衡量的。研究结果表明,加密货币市场受到冠状病毒传播的影响,自变量是对加密货币市场所有投资机会影响最大的变量(总死亡人数)。在金属市场中,总死亡人数变量对黄金市场的影响更大,总病例变量对银和铜的影响都更大。结果还显示,由于冠状病毒在全球传播期间市场的平均水平趋同,加密货币市场和金属市场的平均投资回报率之间没有统计学上的显著差异,其检验的显著性达到(0.889),大于5%的显著性水平。根据研究期间的投资回报率指数,最佳的投资机会是,对于加密货币市场,以太坊的投资回报率为(72.02%),其次是比特币(38.98%),然后是Tether(0.23%),相对于金属市场,白银的投资回报率为(42.16%),其次是铜(20.75%),然后是黄金(8.54%)。
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