Analysis of influencing factors on investment risk of expressway project in China

Liangjie Wu, Yangyang Li, lianlian shang
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Abstract

Expressway project is usually built in extremely complex natural and cultural environment. The whole process of project implementation management is a continuous and dynamic management practice process, which will be affected by internal and external uncertainties, and may directly affect the benefit and even the survival and development of enterprises. Therefore, this paper studies and analyzes the risk of investment in the highway project and several factors that may affect it. This paper selects the actual situation of 112 expressways in China and analyzes them through 30 different risk indexes. Through constructing multiple linear regression model, the factors that may affect the investment risk of expressway project are analyzed. Finally, there are 20 risk indicators to influence the investment risk of expressway project, and this paper constructs the weight model of expressway investment risk evaluation hierarchy and tries to verify it.
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中国高速公路项目投资风险影响因素分析
高速公路工程通常建设在极其复杂的自然和人文环境中。项目实施管理的整个过程是一个持续的、动态的管理实践过程,会受到内外不确定因素的影响,可能直接影响到企业的效益乃至生存发展。因此,本文对公路项目投资风险及其影响因素进行了研究和分析。本文选取中国112条高速公路的实际情况,通过30个不同的风险指标对其进行分析。通过构建多元线性回归模型,分析了影响高速公路项目投资风险的因素。最后,提出了20个影响高速公路项目投资风险的风险指标,构建了高速公路投资风险评价层次的权重模型并进行了验证。
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