Risky Choices and Solidarity: Why Experimental Design Matters

Conny Wunsch, R. Strobl
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引用次数: 3

Abstract

Negative income shocks can either be the consequence of risky choices or random events. A growing literature analyzes the role of responsibility for neediness for informal financial support of individuals facing negative income shocks based on randomized experiments. In this paper, we show that studying this question involves a number of challenges that existing studies either have not been aware of, or have been unable to address satisfactorily. We show that the average effect of free choice of risk on sharing, i.e. the comparison of mean sharing across randomized treatments, is not informative about the behavioural effects and that it is not possible to ensure by the experimental design that the average treatment effect equals the behavioural effect. Instead, isolating the behavioural effect requires conditioning on risk exposure. We show that a design that measures subjects preferred level of risk in all treatments allows isolating this effect without additional assumptions. Another advantage of our design is that it allows disentangling changes in giving behaviour due to attributions of responsibility for neediness from other explanations. We implement our design in a lab experiment we conducted with slum dwellers in Nairobi that measures subjects’ transfers to a worse-off partner both in a setting where participants could either deliberately choose or were randomly assigned to a safe or a risky project. We find that free choice matters for giving and that the effects depend on donors’ risk preferences but that attributions of responsibility play a negligible role in this context.
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冒险选择和团结:为什么实验设计很重要
负收入冲击既可能是风险选择的结果,也可能是随机事件的结果。越来越多的文献基于随机实验分析了面临负收入冲击的个人的非正式财务支持需求的责任作用。在本文中,我们表明,研究这个问题涉及到许多挑战,现有的研究要么没有意识到,要么无法令人满意地解决。我们表明,风险自由选择对分担的平均影响,即随机治疗中平均分担的比较,不能提供关于行为效应的信息,并且不可能通过实验设计确保平均治疗效应等于行为效应。相反,孤立行为效应需要对风险暴露进行调节。我们表明,测量受试者在所有治疗中的首选风险水平的设计可以在没有额外假设的情况下隔离这种影响。我们设计的另一个优点是,它允许从其他解释中分离出由于需要责任的归因而导致的给予行为的变化。我们在一个实验室实验中实施了我们的设计,我们对内罗毕的贫民窟居民进行了实验,测量了受试者向境况较差的伴侣的转移,在这个实验中,参与者可以故意选择,也可以随机分配到一个安全或有风险的项目。我们发现自由选择对捐赠很重要,其影响取决于捐赠者的风险偏好,但在这种情况下,责任归因的作用可以忽略不计。
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