New challenges of international energy security: between continuation and change. Implications of the COVID-19 pandemic

Justyna Misiągiewicz
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Abstract

The main research objective of the presented study is to analyse, in accordance with selected theoretical and methodological assumptions, the main challenges of international energy security. This will be possible thanks to a comprehensive analysis in the explanatory and predictive dimension. Analyses of energy security issues take into account long-term development trends as well as unpredictable events related to the functioning of infrastructure and energy technology. Thus, unexpected, sudden phenomena resulting from the dynamics of the international environment gain in importance. The energy security policy has been narrowly defined so far, and thus the issue of thinking in terms of various development opportunities in the raw materials industry is often overlooked. The dilemma related to “non-linear” thinking often ignores a variety of solutions that, taken together, can cause a radical turn in the energy market and its evolution. The methodological framework of the conducted research included research methods appropriate to the science of international relations. The factor method was useful in identifying the determinants of energy security redefinition in the contemporary world. The prognostic analysis turned out to be helpful in the part of the thesis on the prospects for the development of energy security.
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国际能源安全的新挑战:在延续与变革之间。COVID-19大流行的影响
本研究的主要研究目的是根据选定的理论和方法假设,分析国际能源安全的主要挑战。由于在解释和预测方面的全面分析,这将成为可能。对能源安全问题的分析考虑到长期发展趋势以及与基础设施和能源技术的运作有关的不可预测的事件。因此,由于国际环境的动态变化而产生的意想不到的、突然的现象变得越来越重要。到目前为止,能源安全政策的定义一直很狭隘,因此,从原材料行业各种发展机遇的角度思考问题往往被忽视。与“非线性”思维相关的困境往往忽略了各种各样的解决方案,这些解决方案加在一起,可能导致能源市场及其演变发生根本性转变。所进行的研究的方法框架包括适合于国际关系科学的研究方法。因子法有助于确定当代世界重新定义能源安全的决定因素。本文对能源安全的发展前景进行了预测分析。
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