Armed forces modernisation and shifts in the perception of the Chinese threat

I. Pejic
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Abstract

Following the principles of realist school of international relations we are analysing the shifts in Chinese military budget, military posture and overall modernization of armed forces before and after the American ?Pivot? to Asia. These results are later compared to the United States? foreign policy and military posture in East Asia that had changed in the past decade. Employing Walt?s theory of balance of threat in the following article we have analyzed the shifts in Chinese military power and how other regional actors? perceptions had changed during the last two decades of the 21st century. China that began internal balancing at the end of the twentieth century wasnot perceived as a threat to American interests in East Asia, which could potentially alter the regional status quo. The United States along other regional countries didnot perceive Chinese growing military power that was primarily land based, as a factor that should be contained. However, things started to change as Beijing assertiveness in South China Sea alerted other regional actors of Chinese growing naval power and political aspirations. As the research results show, the idea that any kind of balancing can lead to revisionism in the unipolar system is only partially correct concept which can be affected by intensity and nature of balancing politics.
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军队现代化和对中国威胁看法的转变
根据现实主义国际关系学派的原则,我们分析了美国“重返亚洲”战略前后中国军事预算、军事态势和军队整体现代化的变化。到亚洲。这些结果是后来与美国比较的吗?东亚的外交政策和军事态势在过去十年中发生了变化。雇佣沃尔特?在接下来的文章中,我们分析了中国军事力量的变化以及其他地区参与者是如何变化的?在21世纪的最后20年里,人们的观念发生了变化。中国在20世纪末开始了内部平衡,没有被视为对美国在东亚利益的威胁,这可能会改变地区现状。美国和其他地区国家不认为中国日益增长的军事力量主要是陆基的,这是一个应该遏制的因素。然而,随着中国在南中国海的强硬姿态让其他地区国家警惕中国日益增长的海军实力和政治抱负,情况开始发生变化。研究结果表明,在单极体系中,任何一种平衡都可能导致修正主义的观点只是部分正确的概念,它会受到平衡政治的强度和性质的影响。
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