The Trajectory of Imagined Wars

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Abstract

“Maybe the war is over,” one of the former militants in the Moro separatist movement in the Philippines told me. The hesitancy in his optimism reflected the uncertainties in the peace process between the Philippine government and the main militant movement, the Moro Islamic Liberation Front. A peace agreement that had been negotiated in 2015 was finally signed by President Rodrigo Duterte in 2018 after years of stalling that fueled the opposition and led to a major military confrontation in the city of Marawi in 2017. So despite the continuing tension, he now had reason to at least hope that the war was coming to an end. What he meant by the ending of the war was not just a matter of militants in his movement capitulating to the overwhelming strength of the Philippine government and laying down their arms. He meant a change in attitude towards the conflict. He was talking about the shift in worldviews from a situation of absolute opposition to one where opponents were not foes. They were not yet friends, but there was now the potential for a working arrangement in which they would be able to negotiate differences and build a common future. 1 The Trajectory of Imagined Wars
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想象战争的轨迹
“也许战争已经结束了,”菲律宾摩洛分离主义运动的一名前武装分子告诉我。他乐观中的犹豫反映了菲律宾政府与主要武装运动摩洛伊斯兰解放阵线(Moro Islamic Liberation Front)之间和平进程的不确定性。2015年谈判达成的和平协议最终由总统罗德里戈·杜特尔特(Rodrigo Duterte)在2018年签署,此前多年的拖延助长了反对派,并导致了2017年马拉维市的重大军事对抗。因此,尽管局势持续紧张,他现在至少有理由希望战争即将结束。他所说的战争结束不仅仅是指他的运动中的武装分子向菲律宾政府的压倒性力量投降,放下武器。他的意思是改变对冲突的态度。他说的是世界观的转变,从绝对对立到对手不是敌人。他们还不是朋友,但现在有可能达成一项工作安排,使他们能够协商分歧,建立一个共同的未来。1 .想象战争的轨迹
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