Argumentation for Interactive Causal Discovery

Fabrizio Russo
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Abstract

Causal reasoning reflects how humans perceive events in the world and establish relationships among them, identifying some as causes and others as effects. Causal discovery is about agreeing on these relationships and drawing them as a causal graph. Argumentation is the way humans reason systematically about an idea: the medium we use to exchange opinions, to get to know and trust each other and possibly agree on controversial matters. Developing AI which can argue with humans about causality would allow us to understand and validate the analysis of the AI and would allow the AI to bring evidence for or against humans' prior knowledge. This is the goal of this project: to develop a novel scientific paradigm of interactive causal discovery and train AI to recognise causes and effects by debating, with humans, the results of different statistical methods
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交互式因果发现论证
因果推理反映了人类如何感知世界上的事件,并在它们之间建立关系,将一些确定为原因,另一些确定为结果。因果发现就是对这些关系达成一致,并把它们画成因果图。辩论是人类对一种观点进行系统推理的方式,是我们用来交换意见、相互了解和信任,并可能在有争议的问题上达成一致的媒介。开发可以与人类争论因果关系的人工智能将使我们能够理解和验证人工智能的分析,并使人工智能能够提供支持或反对人类先验知识的证据。这是该项目的目标:开发一种新的科学范式,用于互动因果发现,并通过与人类辩论不同统计方法的结果,训练人工智能识别因果关系
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