Analysis of Soybean Consumption in Indonesia

I. Baroh, Livia Windiana, Ika Setya Ariyanti
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Soybean is one of the main food commodities after rice and corn. Indonesian people indicate that soy consumption will continue to increase yearly along with population, per capita income, and public awareness of food nutrition. Increased demand for soybeans can be linked to an increase in public consumption. The objectives of this study were 1) to analyze the development of soybean consumption in Indonesia and 2) to analyze the factors that influence soybean consumption in Indonesia. This type of research is descriptive with a quantitative approach. The type of data used is secondary data (time series). The analysis method used in this research is Trend Analysis with Moving Average and Multiple Linear Regression Analysis. The variables used are soybean price (X1), substitution price (peanuts) (X2), income per capita (X3), and soybean consumption (Y). The study's results using the trend test showed that the value forecast of soybean consumption for the next or future period was 0.29, where the MAD value was 0.01, the MSE value was 0, and the MAPE value was 0.04. The multiple linear regression test showed that the price of soybeans and income per capita had a significant effect on soybean consumption. In contrast, the substitution price had no significant effect on soybean consumption.
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印度尼西亚大豆消费分析
大豆是继大米和玉米之后的主要粮食商品之一。印尼人表示,随着人口、人均收入和公众对食品营养的认识,大豆消费量将继续逐年增加。大豆需求的增加可能与公共消费的增加有关。本研究的目的是1)分析印尼大豆消费的发展,2)分析影响印尼大豆消费的因素。这种类型的研究是用定量方法描述的。使用的数据类型是辅助数据(时间序列)。本研究使用的分析方法是趋势分析与移动平均和多元线性回归分析。变量分别为大豆价格(X1)、替代价格(花生)(X2)、人均收入(X3)、大豆消费量(Y)。采用趋势检验的研究结果表明,下一或未来一段时期大豆消费量预测值为0.29,其中MAD值为0.01,MSE值为0,MAPE值为0.04。多元线性回归检验表明,大豆价格和人均收入对大豆消费有显著影响。相比之下,替代价格对大豆消费量没有显著影响。
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