Policy Designing via System Dynamics

Arzu Eren Şenaras
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Abstract

This chapter aims to explain system dynamics approach. System dynamics approach was developed by Jay Forrester from MIT during the 1950s to analyze especially the complex behavior in administration with computer simulation in social sciences. System dynamics is a form of systems approach as a methodology to understand the dynamic behavior of complex systems. The basis of system dynamics is to understand how system structures cause system behavior and system events. System dynamics deals with how things change over time. Almost all are interested in how the past formed the present moment and how today's actions determine the future.
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基于系统动力学的策略设计
本章旨在解释系统动力学方法。系统动力学方法是由麻省理工学院的Jay Forrester在20世纪50年代提出的,主要用于分析社会科学领域的复杂行政行为。系统动力学是系统方法的一种形式,是一种理解复杂系统动态行为的方法论。系统动力学的基础是理解系统结构如何导致系统行为和系统事件。系统动力学研究的是事物如何随时间变化。几乎所有人都感兴趣的是过去如何形成现在,今天的行为如何决定未来。
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