Empirical analysis of the influence of the reserve requirement ratio adjustment on the Chinese stock index

Yan Song, Meng-yang Zhao
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Abstract

This paper uses the event study to research the influence of the reserve requirement ratio adjustment on the Chinese stock index. The paper indicates that the reserve requirement ratio adjustment although dose not influence the stock index directly, but still have some indirect effects. Firstly, when the stock market rises or falls. The stock index will not be influenced by the reserve requirement ratio adjustment in a short term. Secondly, when the stock market is in a period of adjustment. Raising the reserve requirement ratio will make the stock index fall, but it will not last for a long time. Thirdly, when the stock market falls obviously. After the policy which is lowering the reserve requirement ratio achieves a certain result. Some investors will invest in stock, but it will not last for a long time yet. Investors' viewpoint on the stock market bearish expectations do not change.
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存款准备金率调整对中国股票指数影响的实证分析
本文采用事件研究法研究存款准备金率调整对中国股指的影响。本文指出,存款准备金率的调整虽然不会对股指产生直接影响,但仍有一定的间接影响。首先,当股市上涨或下跌。股票指数短期内不会受到存款准备金率调整的影响。其次,当股市处于调整期时。提高存款准备金率会使股指下跌,但不会持续很长时间。第三,当股市明显下跌时。在降低存款准备金率的政策取得一定效果后。一些投资者会投资股票,但这种情况不会持续很长时间。投资者对股市看跌预期的观点并未改变。
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