On Bivariate Modeling of the COVID-19 Data with a New Type I Half-Logistic Inverse Weibull Distribution

A. Elhassanein
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Abstract

This manuscript presents a new univariate six parameters type I half-logistic inverse Weibull distribution. Explicit expressions for the quantile function, the moments, the moment generating function and the maximum likelihood esti-mators are formulated. Simulation is employed to investigate the goodness of fit and to discuss the behaviour of the new model. Competitive models are compared via real data. The univariate one is used as a base line to construct a bivariate one named bivariate six parameters type I half-logistic inverse Weibull distribution. Mathematical properties of the new bivariate distrib-ution are investigated. The goodness of fit and the model performance are discussed via simulation. COVID-19 mortality data for Italy and Canada are treated as a bivariate random variable to prove the applicability of the new bivariate distribution.
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基于新型I型半逻辑逆威布尔分布的COVID-19数据双变量建模
本文提出了一种新的单变量六参数I型半逻辑逆威布尔分布。给出了分位数函数、矩、矩生成函数和极大似然估计的显式表达式。通过仿真研究了模型的拟合优度,并讨论了新模型的行为。通过实际数据对竞争模型进行比较。以单变量维布尔分布为基线,构造了双变量维布尔分布,即双变量六参数I型半逻辑逆威布尔分布。研究了新二元分布的数学性质。通过仿真对模型的拟合优度和性能进行了讨论。意大利和加拿大的COVID-19死亡率数据被视为双变量随机变量,以证明新的双变量分布的适用性。
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