Grey relational analysis of factors affecting ipo pricing in China a-share market

Chui-yong Zheng, Jun Zhu
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

IPO (Initial Public Offerings) pricing is a systematic and complicated task that directly determines whether the capital market is able to function in a healthy way. As China's stock market goes through ups and downs, China Securities Regulatory Commission generally adopts a positive strategy. Therefore, to weaken the policy factors, 48 cases of IPO companies dated from January 2014 to February 2014 (before price guidance of 23x P/E ratio ceiling) are selected as samples and an approach of grey relational analysis is adopted to analyze the degree on which different factors are able to have an influence. The results show that in general, internal enterprise value factors are likely to play a more important role when compared with external environmental factors. More specifically, profitability, growth potential, operating efficiency, industry characteristics, solvency, capital scale and structure are factors that are more influencing on the offering price, while the market overview and individual stock overview are ones that play a less important role. Based on these results some policy suggestions with regard to IPO pricing are also offered.
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中国a股市场ipo定价影响因素的灰色关联分析
首次公开募股(IPO)定价是一项系统而复杂的任务,它直接决定着资本市场能否健康运行。在中国股市大起大落的时候,证监会通常采取积极的策略。因此,为了弱化政策因素,选取2014年1月至2014年2月(23倍市盈率上限指导价出台前)48家IPO公司为样本,采用灰色关联分析方法分析不同因素的影响程度。结果表明,总体而言,企业内部价值因素可能比外部环境因素发挥更重要的作用。具体而言,盈利能力、成长性、经营效率、行业特征、偿付能力、资本规模和结构是影响发行价格的主要因素,而市场概况和个股概况对发行价格的影响较小。在此基础上,提出了有关IPO定价的政策建议。
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